cycloneye wrote:Hayabusa wrote:JTWC went with JMA94W INVEST 191125 0000 8.3N 157.7E WPAC 20 1004
Finnally they now are aligned.
Can't find it
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cycloneye wrote:Hayabusa wrote:JTWC went with JMA94W INVEST 191125 0000 8.3N 157.7E WPAC 20 1004
Finnally they now are aligned.
Hayabusa wrote:Wow a 50 mb drop in 24 hours, that quasi motion really boosts it
https://i.imgur.com/Qm390JK.png
https://i.imgur.com/NOo8BsU.png
https://i.imgur.com/JaNS3Wo.png
dexterlabio wrote:My issue now is that the ensemble members are not as enthusiastic compared to the deterministic/operational ones from GFS and ECMWF so I think there is a chance that the sub 930mb doom scenario could still bust.
Hayabusa wrote:If this becomes a named storm this November then this would be the 6th named storm this November. October 2013 had 7 named storms.
Next name is Kammuri. Kammuri doesn't have a typhoon title yet, can Kammuri reach the stars this time?
aspen wrote:
There’s a very good chance the 930 mbar Philippine landfall will turn out to be a model fantasy, regardless of the difference between the ensemble and operational runs because it’s still so far out (a week or more). However, a bust like Fung-Wong can definitely be ruled out, since 94W should be classified within the next 24 hours with plenty of time to strengthen.
Highteeld wrote:Here's what the Hi-Res Euro output is showing for 94W
https://i.imgur.com/qARwege.png
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