WPAC: KAMMURI - Post-Tropical

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Hayabusa
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Tropical Storm

#161 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Nov 26, 2019 10:59 pm

:double:

Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Tropical Storm

#162 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Nov 27, 2019 1:32 am

Wow! :eek:

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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#163 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Nov 27, 2019 1:39 am

STS 1928 (Kammuri)
Issued at 06:40 UTC, 27 November 2019

<Analysis at 06 UTC, 27 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N11°30' (11.5°)
E140°40' (140.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30 km/h (15 kt)
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area N 560 km (300 NM)
S 330 km (180 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#164 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Nov 27, 2019 1:56 am

Cat 5 and plotting problems

Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Tropical Storm

#165 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Nov 27, 2019 2:15 am



Angela-esque
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#166 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Nov 27, 2019 2:21 am

Here we go!
It's starting to build a solid CDO
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Tropical Storm

#167 Postby ManilaTC » Wed Nov 27, 2019 2:36 am

dexterlabio wrote:


Angela-esque


Exactly. Reminded me of STY Angela, positioned itself due East of Manila then went on a dead West track. Shucks.
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#168 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Nov 27, 2019 2:53 am

Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#169 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Nov 27, 2019 3:02 am

Image
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#170 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Nov 27, 2019 3:33 am

The 918 mb peak is around ~910 mb in high res
Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#171 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Nov 27, 2019 4:52 am

What a very large cone

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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#172 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Nov 27, 2019 5:23 am

Rare instance when Euro is the bullish one in terms of intensity and not GFS. :lol:
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Tropical Storm

#173 Postby aspen » Wed Nov 27, 2019 5:38 am



A 918 mbar landfall from the Euro model....I never thought I would see something that bullish this late in the year.

The GFS, Euro, and CMC app agree on the same basic track: a turn to the north, then a stall at the end of the week, then another turn to the W/WSW towards the Philippines.
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#174 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Nov 27, 2019 6:17 am

Just curious if we can view the 06z run from the Euro? I remember some people saying that the Euro is now doing runs for 06z and 18z.
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#175 Postby ManilaTC » Wed Nov 27, 2019 6:22 am

Hayabusa wrote:The 918 mb peak is around ~910 mb in high res
https://i.imgur.com/7kOIhNK.png


Nice graphic. Can u share the source link bro?
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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#176 Postby Highteeld » Wed Nov 27, 2019 6:29 am

Well into cat 5 at this point:
Image
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https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#177 Postby Highteeld » Wed Nov 27, 2019 6:37 am

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 0, 114N, 1421E, 37, 996, TS, 34, NEQ, 81, 0, 0, 74, , , 51, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 6, 115N, 1411E, 38, 991, TS, 34, NEQ, 103, 0, 0, 75, , , 43, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 12, 118N, 1402E, 42, 991, TS, 34, NEQ, 73, 0, 37, 66, , , 42, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 18, 120N, 1395E, 40, 986, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 35, 49, 71, , , 34, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 24, 127N, 1392E, 42, 987, TS, 34, NEQ, 78, 66, 55, 66, , , 41, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 30, 136N, 1392E, 42, 984, TS, 34, NEQ, 75, 91, 80, 50, , , 48, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 36, 140N, 1393E, 42, 985, TS, 34, NEQ, 92, 96, 56, 61, , , 45, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 42, 147N, 1399E, 45, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 80, 116, 72, 67, , , 48, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 48, 152N, 1404E, 47, 985, TS, 34, NEQ, 120, 146, 59, 67, , , 53, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 54, 155N, 1409E, 48, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 108, 122, 62, 113, , , 45, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 60, 156N, 1411E, 46, 983, TS, 34, NEQ, 119, 115, 69, 159, , , 37, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 66, 156N, 1406E, 45, 980, TS, 34, NEQ, 146, 126, 126, 221, , , 50, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 72, 151N, 1404E, 55, 976, TS, 34, NEQ, 166, 70, 102, 206, , , 33, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 72, 151N, 1404E, 55, 976, TS, 50, NEQ, 0, 0, 22, 42, , , 33, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 78, 150N, 1397E, 58, 966, TS, 34, NEQ, 179, 83, 130, 211, , , 24, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 78, 150N, 1397E, 58, 966, TS, 50, NEQ, 42, 29, 29, 36, , , 24, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 84, 148N, 1390E, 65, 963, TY, 34, NEQ, 172, 82, 99, 190, , , 24, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 84, 148N, 1390E, 65, 963, TY, 50, NEQ, 42, 29, 27, 38, , , 24, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 90, 146N, 1380E, 62, 956, TS, 34, NEQ, 164, 101, 110, 210, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 90, 146N, 1380E, 62, 956, TS, 50, NEQ, 43, 36, 28, 40, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 96, 145N, 1369E, 68, 954, TY, 34, NEQ, 175, 110, 92, 187, , , 27, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 96, 145N, 1369E, 68, 954, TY, 50, NEQ, 50, 36, 24, 44, , , 27, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 96, 145N, 1369E, 68, 954, TY, 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 28, , , 27, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 102, 145N, 1358E, 73, 952, TY, 34, NEQ, 177, 106, 94, 195, , , 26, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 102, 145N, 1358E, 73, 952, TY, 50, NEQ, 50, 37, 34, 52, , , 26, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 102, 145N, 1358E, 73, 952, TY, 64, NEQ, 34, 0, 12, 26, , , 26, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 108, 146N, 1349E, 72, 951, TY, 34, NEQ, 163, 104, 94, 151, , , 33, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 108, 146N, 1349E, 72, 951, TY, 50, NEQ, 59, 39, 33, 50, , , 33, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 108, 146N, 1349E, 72, 951, TY, 64, NEQ, 39, 20, 17, 31, , , 33, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 114, 145N, 1339E, 81, 948, TY, 34, NEQ, 161, 103, 104, 142, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 114, 145N, 1339E, 81, 948, TY, 50, NEQ, 59, 45, 41, 52, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 114, 145N, 1339E, 81, 948, TY, 64, NEQ, 37, 24, 15, 28, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 120, 145N, 1331E, 79, 945, TY, 34, NEQ, 155, 105, 106, 137, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 120, 145N, 1331E, 79, 945, TY, 50, NEQ, 64, 46, 42, 58, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 120, 145N, 1331E, 79, 945, TY, 64, NEQ, 41, 29, 21, 34, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 126, 145N, 1320E, 85, 934, TY, 34, NEQ, 129, 102, 111, 135, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 126, 145N, 1320E, 85, 934, TY, 50, NEQ, 57, 49, 53, 62, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 126, 145N, 1320E, 85, 934, TY, 64, NEQ, 40, 34, 27, 35, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 132, 142N, 1310E, 88, 928, TY, 34, NEQ, 120, 107, 129, 149, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 132, 142N, 1310E, 88, 928, TY, 50, NEQ, 63, 55, 61, 69, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 132, 142N, 1310E, 88, 928, TY, 64, NEQ, 38, 33, 33, 39, , , 22, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 138, 138N, 1301E, 91, 925, TY, 34, NEQ, 115, 106, 137, 184, , , 16, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 138, 138N, 1301E, 91, 925, TY, 50, NEQ, 63, 54, 64, 72, , , 16, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 138, 138N, 1301E, 91, 925, TY, 64, NEQ, 40, 27, 33, 42, , , 16, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 144, 134N, 1292E, 93, 924, TY, 34, NEQ, 124, 121, 132, 207, , , 23, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 144, 134N, 1292E, 93, 924, TY, 50, NEQ, 65, 60, 66, 78, , , 23, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 144, 134N, 1292E, 93, 924, TY, 64, NEQ, 41, 35, 35, 41, , , 23, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 150, 133N, 1281E, 93, 921, TY, 34, NEQ, 134, 126, 146, 215, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 150, 133N, 1281E, 93, 921, TY, 50, NEQ, 67, 62, 60, 78, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 150, 133N, 1281E, 93, 921, TY, 64, NEQ, 42, 35, 34, 46, , , 29, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 156, 132N, 1270E, 100, 917, TY, 34, NEQ, 153, 122, 113, 213, , , 28, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 156, 132N, 1270E, 100, 917, TY, 50, NEQ, 73, 62, 70, 88, , , 28, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 156, 132N, 1270E, 100, 917, TY, 64, NEQ, 49, 39, 33, 46, , , 28, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 162, 133N, 1257E, 100, 910, TY, 34, NEQ, 168, 148, 98, 189, , , 23, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 162, 133N, 1257E, 100, 910, TY, 50, NEQ, 76, 62, 57, 79, , , 23, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 162, 133N, 1257E, 100, 910, TY, 64, NEQ, 46, 32, 38, 48, , , 23, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 168, 135N, 1244E, 97, 917, TY, 34, NEQ, 179, 129, 93, 143, , , 17, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 168, 135N, 1244E, 97, 917, TY, 50, NEQ, 81, 53, 33, 64, , , 17, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI

WP, 29, 2019112700, 03, UKM, 168, 135N, 1244E, 97, 917, TY, 64, NEQ, 50, 34, 19, 39, , , 17, , , W, , , , , KAMMURI
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#178 Postby Highteeld » Wed Nov 27, 2019 6:46 am

TPPN10 PGTW 270930

A. TROPICAL STORM 29W (KAMMURI)

B. 27/0900Z

C. 11.68N

D. 140.63E

E. THREE/HMWRI8

F. T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 13A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BNDG/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .95
ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET/PT ARE 4.0. DBO PT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


MARTIN
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#179 Postby Highteeld » Wed Nov 27, 2019 6:50 am

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: WPAC: KAMMURI - Severe Tropical Storm

#180 Postby Highteeld » Wed Nov 27, 2019 7:00 am

Future powerhouse right there

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf


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