WPAC: KAMMURI - Post-Tropical

[aspen]

What do you think Kammuri’s intensity will be at 06z? I’m guessing 100-110 kt based on the current rate of eye development.

[Highteeld]

110 is about what i was thinking too

[Highteeld]

Are my eyes playing games on me or is the eye much smaller now than it was 3 hours ago?

[mrbagyo]

Probably still has a shot at cat 5, it's getting more symmetrical

[Highteeld]

Positive eye temp
2019DEC02 023000 4.7 972.7 82.2 4.4 4.7 6.4 0.5T/hour ON OFF OFF OFF 0.74 -74.99 EYE 10 IR 24.1 13.13 -126.09 ARCHER HIM-8 22.9

[Highteeld]

AMSU Microwave 89 GHz Imagery (4 km Mercator) - 0024Z

[mrbagyo]

I think Raw T can still reach >7.5 in the next few hours once the eye clears and the CDO fully wraps the eye. Environment can support full CDG cover - TP is about -87.5°C between 80 to 90 mb based on latest Legazpi sounding

[Highteeld]

Eye sure looks to be shrinking (about 3.5 hours apart)

[mrbagyo]

[floridasun78]

what good radar for area were typhoon at?

[Highteeld]

area of -90* convection showing up very well on radar

[mrbagyo]

what good radar for area were typhoon at?

https://v2-cloud.meteopilipinas.gov.ph/#

[Highteeld]

First Warm Medium Grey eye pixel has punched through

[Highteeld]

2019DEC02 044000 5.5 957.2 102.0 5.5 6.3 6.7 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF 2.96 -75.86 EYE 11 IR 24.1 12.98 -125.85 ARCHER HIM-8 23.0

[doomhaMwx]

Parts of Northern Samar are already getting hit hard since morning. Unfortunately, it looks like the worst conditions won't happen until evening or tonight when the eye passes just to their north.

Some videos from Northern Samar:
https://www.facebook.com/PhilippineSTAR ... 081665205/
https://www.facebook.com/PhilippineSTAR ... 548007653/

[cebuboy]

I've checked the track of this Typhoon , the eye will directly pass over Legazpi City at its full strength. (which is a big city by Philippine standards with many people)
I'm a bit worried because this is a coastal city in front of Albay Gulf.
This bears similarity to Tacloban City during Haiyan landfall.

Storm surge is always high when it hits coastal gulf areas because of the coastal shape (incoming surge is trapped at its concentrated directly to the coast)
I also check that its high tide in the evening when it will make a landfall.
I do hope that people in the coastal area of this city will be entirely evacuated.

[Hayabusa]

Now a CI 6.0, minimal cat 4

2019DEC02 054000 6.0 946.0 115.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -33.07 -75.98 EYE -99 IR 24.1 13.00 -125.62 ARCHER HIM-8 23.2

[doomhaMwx]

[Highteeld]

Pretty good transformation in the last day

[Hayabusa]

Mid cat 3

29W KAMMURI 191202 0600 13.0N 125.6E WPAC 105 951