Texas Winter 2019-2020

Winter Weather Discussion

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TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#541 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Dec 15, 2019 7:27 pm

Been so busy watching for snow in DC next week that I didn't realize I will be getting severe weather tomorrow lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#542 Postby Haris » Sun Dec 15, 2019 9:10 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#543 Postby Brent » Sun Dec 15, 2019 10:05 pm



Me waiting for the great pattern to verify

:roll:

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#544 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 16, 2019 2:16 am

no good news on the 0z models... GFS/Euro agree that temps will basically warmup from here all the way to Christmas and right now agree on widespread 70s Christmas Day(and not as much rain as once thought)... the idea of turning colder after is still there though

its a big torch, wet Christmas way up into the midwest
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#545 Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 6:46 am

The fortifications I made on my Canadian wall in late November seem to be working. We're planning a bike ride for Christmas day - in shorts and short-sleeves.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#546 Postby Common sense » Mon Dec 16, 2019 7:52 am

wxman57 wrote:The fortifications I made on my Canadian wall in late November seem to be working. We're planning a bike ride for Christmas day - in shorts and short-sleeves.



no one cares what you're doing :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#547 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Dec 16, 2019 8:41 am

wxman57 wrote:The fortifications I made on my Canadian wall in late November seem to be working. We're planning a bike ride for Christmas day - in shorts and short-sleeves.
We’ll see wxman :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#548 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Dec 16, 2019 9:16 am

The air feels great this morning. Enjoy while you can, it's the last good front for a while. Looks like some low 60's for Christmas day at last check. Not great but not terrible either.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#549 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 9:42 am

Common sense wrote:
wxman57 wrote:The fortifications I made on my Canadian wall in late November seem to be working. We're planning a bike ride for Christmas day - in shorts and short-sleeves.



no one cares what you're doing :eek:


:lol:

Funniest comment I've seen all week.lol But yeah, this sucks. This is just like what happened that year Nuri gave us a deep freeze in November, then it was a torch in December through February. Then we had some late season freezes in March.smh
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#550 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 9:44 am

Started off with fog and drizzle in the 50s, now misty and in the 40s. We need significant rain though badly to replenish our soil moisture. It never fully recovered from the July through September Ridge O' Death.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#551 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Dec 16, 2019 9:50 am

This upcoming stretch is a bit of a bore but still expect a pattern flip as we move into January.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#552 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Dec 16, 2019 9:59 am

The only info I trust is the Old Farmer’s Almanac https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/region/us/11 :lol: :notworthy:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#553 Postby Portastorm » Mon Dec 16, 2019 10:24 am

bubba hotep wrote:This upcoming stretch is a bit of a bore but still expect a pattern flip as we move into January.


I'm getting very worried about my area of the state and our worsening drought. These frontal passages, like this morning's, offer a little drizzle and that's it. If we are not able to get a pattern switch and better moisture, I'm telling you guys that we'll be a tinderbox this spring. I love wintry weather as much as anyone but I'm desperate for us getting some rain events.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#554 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Dec 16, 2019 10:31 am

January will help us a little bit with rain with 3” of rain rather than 2” but doesn’t seem to help with the massive drought we currently have :raincloud:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#555 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Dec 16, 2019 10:33 am

Portastorm wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:This upcoming stretch is a bit of a bore but still expect a pattern flip as we move into January.


I'm getting very worried about my area of the state and our worsening drought. These frontal passages, like this morning's, offer a little drizzle and that's it. If we are not able to get a pattern switch and better moisture, I'm telling you guys that we'll be a tinderbox this spring. I love wintry weather as much as anyone but I'm desperate for us getting some rain events.


Completely agree with you Porta. It's been so dry around here lately...I don't remember the last time we had over 1 inch of rain. San Antonio is now running a rainfall deficit for 2019 approaching 10 inches. :(
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#556 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Dec 16, 2019 11:40 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:This upcoming stretch is a bit of a bore but still expect a pattern flip as we move into January.


I'm getting very worried about my area of the state and our worsening drought. These frontal passages, like this morning's, offer a little drizzle and that's it. If we are not able to get a pattern switch and better moisture, I'm telling you guys that we'll be a tinderbox this spring. I love wintry weather as much as anyone but I'm desperate for us getting some rain events.


Completely agree with you Porta. It's been so dry around here lately...I don't remember the last time we had over 1 inch of rain. San Antonio is now running a rainfall deficit for 2019 approaching 10 inches. :(


The interesting thing about drought is that it's a slow process, almost unnoticeable. You notice a few dry fronts move through. Feels great outside! The ground looks a little dry, but it feels nice! ;) Then a few more weeks go by with a dry frontal passage. Looks a little dryer but still feels good. :)

Breezy south winds come in for a couple days as the storm to the north passes east, bringing in some moisture and humidity. Get some pre-frontal moisture, mist/drizzle or a passing shower (thundershower if lucky), before the front scours it out, and NW winds of 25mph kick up some Cedar spores and dust from various places, coating everything outside.

Or worse, you get a southwest wind before the front (depending on energy placement), which dries it out further. Then looking at your yard and surrounding area, you realize it's been dry lately, and we could use some rain. Some weak fronts move through, repeating the process in a seemingly never-ending loop. Then drought reality sets in. :(

Not sure what the wildflower season will be like given the relatively dry Fall we have had. I'm hoping there will be a pattern shift in our favor, but not sure if that'll happen. I'm turning on my water periodically to keep my grass from becoming a tinderbox. Can't rely on mother nature this year aside from some drizzle/sleet, etc.

I love it when the fronts move through with a large line of rain and thunderstorms that put down 1 to 2 inches each time. The air is cool, moist and clear/clean afterwards, with sunshine for a few days. but not completely dry. Those are awesome! We just don't have the right pattern now I guess. Hmmm. May have to wait this pattern out unfortunately for who knows how long(?).
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#557 Postby Cerlin » Mon Dec 16, 2019 12:06 pm

:bored:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#558 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Dec 16, 2019 12:13 pm

Cerlin wrote::bored:
Isn’t everybody? :roflmao:
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#559 Postby Cerlin » Mon Dec 16, 2019 12:35 pm

TropicalTundra wrote:
Cerlin wrote::bored:
Isn’t everybody? :roflmao:

I’m just glad it feels like winter outside right now. I can have the heater on tonight and enjoy it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#560 Postby harp » Mon Dec 16, 2019 12:54 pm

GFS keeps trying to bring cold air down a few days after Christmas. Let's see if that continues. All may not be lost.
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