Texas Winter 2019-2020
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.-
Astromanía
- Category 2

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
putting my head on the fridge is cooler than go outside this winter on a front cold
, a winter for the ages!
tomorrow an amazing and exciting rain of fire, stay tuned!!!
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Here it comes! Big snow event for the D-FW area! Up to 7 inches of snow. Can't believe everyone here isn't all excited about it. Only 12 days out.




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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
wxman57 wrote:Here it comes! Big snow event for the D-FW area! Up to 7 inches of snow. Can't believe everyone here isn't all excited about it. Only 12 days out.
http://wxman57.com/images/snow.png
http://wxman57.com/images/snow2.png
Hey, it's better that 14 days out. I am all in!!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
wxman57 wrote:Here it comes! Big snow event for the D-FW area! Up to 7 inches of snow. Can't believe everyone here isn't all excited about it. Only 12 days out.
http://wxman57.com/images/snow.png
http://wxman57.com/images/snow2.png
I'll be in Orlando for work from the 13th-16th. I need this pushed back 2 days, please and thank you. If I miss the first snow event in 4+ years for DFW while I'm in Florida I'm going to need to be committed.
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Oh well, never mind about the snow storm for D-FW around mid month. False alarm. Sunny and mild instead. What a surprise...


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- PTrackerLA
- Category 5

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Long range GFS continues to show brutally cold air building in Canada and slipping into the Northern plains starting in 8-10 days onward. It would not be hard to imagine a chunk of this arctic air dislodging south in the second half of January but we shall see.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
PTrackerLA wrote:Long range GFS continues to show brutally cold air building in Canada and slipping into the Northern plains starting in 8-10 days onward. It would not be hard to imagine a chunk of this arctic air dislodging south in the second half of January but we shall see.
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
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- TheProfessor
- Professional-Met

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Bit of a bust with the short range models in how the radar would look like further east of where the heaviest rains were forecasted. We've gotten a lot more rain than what was being predicted.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
No you're not. Only when the long range models show heat are you confident
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Any forecast I make is based on my opinion only. Please refer to the NWS or NHC for official forecasts.
- northjaxpro
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Cpv17 wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:Long range GFS continues to show brutally cold air building in Canada and slipping into the Northern plains starting in 8-10 days onward. It would not be hard to imagine a chunk of this arctic air dislodging south in the second half of January but we shall see.
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
A very strong - PNA index. This pattern features deep troughing over the western U.S., which allows cold air from western Canada to drain southward into this region. In the eastern U.S., warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean is able to travel northward, often resulting in above normal temperatures and more humid conditions, and this is is generally occuring right now, and forecast to continue for the next 10-14 days.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met

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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Cpv17 wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:Long range GFS continues to show brutally cold air building in Canada and slipping into the Northern plains starting in 8-10 days onward. It would not be hard to imagine a chunk of this arctic air dislodging south in the second half of January but we shall see.
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
I wonder...

1 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
wxman57 wrote:Cpv17 wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:Long range GFS continues to show brutally cold air building in Canada and slipping into the Northern plains starting in 8-10 days onward. It would not be hard to imagine a chunk of this arctic air dislodging south in the second half of January but we shall see.
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
I wonder...
Wxman 57, do you have an off day from work today? Just curious.
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
gpsnowman wrote:Wxman 57, do you have an off day from work today? Just curious.
I'm always watching.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
northjaxpro wrote:Cpv17 wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:Long range GFS continues to show brutally cold air building in Canada and slipping into the Northern plains starting in 8-10 days onward. It would not be hard to imagine a chunk of this arctic air dislodging south in the second half of January but we shall see.
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
A very strong - PNA index. This pattern features deep troughing over the western U.S., which allows cold air from western Canada to drain southward into this region. In the eastern U.S., warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean is able to travel northward, often resulting in above normal temperatures and more humid conditions, and this is is generally occuring right now, and forecast to continue for the next 10-14 days.
At least we're sort of seasonal here
It's nearly 80 in coastal Carolina

But it looks like the pattern will be stuck through mid month
Oh and I thought we wanted a -PNA lol
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
I was looking at the Great Lakes ice report and nearly 100% of all 5 lakes are ice free. Small pockets of ice exist but that is it. Amazing for this time of year. Winter hasn't shown up in a lot of places.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
It's amazing how stable the D11 Super Ensemble Analog Composite has been over the past week.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Brent wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Cpv17 wrote:
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
A very strong - PNA index. This pattern features deep troughing over the western U.S., which allows cold air from western Canada to drain southward into this region. In the eastern U.S., warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean is able to travel northward, often resulting in above normal temperatures and more humid conditions, and this is is generally occuring right now, and forecast to continue for the next 10-14 days.
At least we're sort of seasonal here
It's nearly 80 in coastal Carolina
But it looks like the pattern will be stuck through mid month
Oh and I thought we wanted a -PNA lol
Anyone see the forecasted highs next week along the east coast? Widespread 70's reaching close to Philadelphia.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
gpsnowman wrote:Brent wrote:northjaxpro wrote:
A very strong - PNA index. This pattern features deep troughing over the western U.S., which allows cold air from western Canada to drain southward into this region. In the eastern U.S., warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean is able to travel northward, often resulting in above normal temperatures and more humid conditions, and this is is generally occuring right now, and forecast to continue for the next 10-14 days.
At least we're sort of seasonal here
It's nearly 80 in coastal Carolina
But it looks like the pattern will be stuck through mid month
Oh and I thought we wanted a -PNA lol
Anyone see the forecasted highs next week along the east coast? Widespread 70's reaching close to Philadelphia.
yeah so glad I'm going to Lake Tahoe instead of back up the east coast again next week.

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#neversummer
- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Brent wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Cpv17 wrote:
It looks to stay locked up there. Not much southern movement. What’s causing that?
A very strong - PNA index. This pattern features deep troughing over the western U.S., which allows cold air from western Canada to drain southward into this region. In the eastern U.S., warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean is able to travel northward, often resulting in above normal temperatures and more humid conditions, and this is is generally occuring right now, and forecast to continue for the next 10-14 days.
At least we're sort of seasonal here
It's nearly 80 in coastal Carolina
But it looks like the pattern will be stuck through mid month
Oh and I thought we wanted a -PNA lol
In regards to the PNA, a slightly negative to neutral is our sweet spot for storms and not letting the coldest air slide east
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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