Texas Winter 2019-2020

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Texas Snow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 784
Joined: Mon Oct 19, 2015 12:06 pm
Location: N. Dallas & Cedar Creek Lake

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1261 Postby Texas Snow » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:40 pm

Well my 2 to 4 inches looks like it’s going to top out it maybe half an inch, so I’m hopeful I can exceed that in snowfall tomorrow morning.
0 likes   
"Don't let wishcastin get in the way of your forecastin"

Image

Jarodm12
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:05 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1262 Postby Jarodm12 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:50 pm

Honestly the 00z nam is coming in nice for all of us
0 likes   

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1263 Postby TheProfessor » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:54 pm

Good luck to the North Texas folks with the snow.
4 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38093
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1264 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:02 pm

You can cancel the snow I'm in Los Angeles waiting for my flight home in 2 hours :ggreen:
Last edited by Brent on Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Cerlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1182
Age: 23
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 12:06 am
Location: Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1265 Postby Cerlin » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:06 pm

Brent wrote:You cancel the snow I'm in Los Angeles waiting for my flight home in 2 hours :ggreen:

I’m calling bust then. You heard it here first folks...empirical evidence that I’m calling a winter cancel and we won’t see a flake. Thanks Brent. :roll: :lol:
1 likes   
Graduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma!
All opinions independent of employers and the university.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1266 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:07 pm

BrokenGlass wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Bowing into Collin County... Hopefully we don't loose the fence.

https://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/animations/codnexlab.NEXRAD.FWS.N0Q.20200111.106.024ani.gif

Sat on my front porch in Richardson....not even much wind with one.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro


Yea, that wasn't even a decent thunderstorm.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1267 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:10 pm

Brent wrote:You cancel the snow I'm in Los Angeles waiting for my flight home in 2 hours :ggreen:


I've only done LAX to DFW when coming back from Hawaii, it's a horrible flight getting into DFW at like 5:00 am (after flying from Kaui at least)
2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38093
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1268 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:15 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Brent wrote:You cancel the snow I'm in Los Angeles waiting for my flight home in 2 hours :ggreen:


I've only done LAX to DFW when coming back from Hawaii, it's a horrible flight getting into DFW at like 5:00 am (after flying from Kaui at least)


They cancelled my other flight just as we were leaving Reno so now I land around 1230am late but better than tomorrow lol
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Haris
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1810
Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1269 Postby Haris » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:26 pm

Image

Dime size hail and .9“ of rain.
3 likes   
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

Jarodm12
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:05 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1270 Postby Jarodm12 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:28 pm

Looks like theres a 6 hour window of banded precipitation moving through from about 5am to 11am north Texas is bullseyed I'm in Durant and the higher totals have shifted a bit further south although still in the comfort zone of 20 to 40 miles, I'm getting excited
1 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1271 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:29 pm

There is currently precip building in the south plains of the panhandle. 850s is falling like a rock wrapping into the ULL. Most short range guidance dive that south/southeastward pulled by the ULL.

There are areas now in the eastern Panhandle and Oklahoma that are under WAA that may not even see a flake! The southward trend has been real. Interestingly they must be feeling what N Texans feel when the snow bands happen further to the south!
4 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

Jarodm12
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:05 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1272 Postby Jarodm12 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:34 pm

Ntxw wrote:There is currently precip building in the south plains of the panhandle. 850s is falling like a lock wrapping into the ULL. Most short range guidance dive that south/southeastward pulled by the ULL.

There are areas now in the eastern Panhandle and Oklahoma that are under WAA that may not even see a flake! The southward trend has been real. Interestingly they must be feeling what N Texans feel when the snow bands happen further to the south!


I'm in Durant do you think that I'm going to miss out ?
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1273 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:41 pm

Jarodm12 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:There is currently precip building in the south plains of the panhandle. 850s is falling like a lock wrapping into the ULL. Most short range guidance dive that south/southeastward pulled by the ULL.

There are areas now in the eastern Panhandle and Oklahoma that are under WAA that may not even see a flake! The southward trend has been real. Interestingly they must be feeling what N Texans feel when the snow bands happen further to the south!


I'm in Durant do you think that I'm going to miss out ?


I think you're sitting in a good spot. We can only watch radar trends and see where the best dynamics sets up along with the strongest precip bands.
2 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Jarodm12
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:05 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1274 Postby Jarodm12 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:46 pm

Thanks ntxw, so help me understand I know these events are always fickle, is this precip shield going to expand as it approaches? And if so why?
1 likes   

sphelps8681
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 785
Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2007 5:37 pm
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1275 Postby sphelps8681 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:52 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Strongest storm in the United States right now just to the west of SA. If that holds together for another hour then SA is about to get crushed!


Are you staying up for all the excitement? I know I am.

My dad and I are excited! :D
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1276 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 10, 2020 9:53 pm

Jarodm12 wrote:Thanks ntxw, so help me understand I know these events are always fickle, is this precip shield going to expand as it approaches? And if so why?


Trough is going from positive to neutral -> and kicking out negative tilt. Thus the strong dynamics today for the severe weather. At the same time a neg-tilt trough/ULL generates a "trowal" which is able to pull back moisture better into the cold sector. It's still a fine line though and requires a lot of dynamics and timing especially for the I-20 corridor.
4 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Jarodm12
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 337
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:05 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1277 Postby Jarodm12 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:10 pm

Thank you
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman22
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1493
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
Location: Wichita Falls, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1278 Postby wxman22 » Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:14 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
905 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

TORNADO WATCH 6 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-201-225-239-291-313-321-
339-373-407-455-471-473-477-481-111000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0006.200111T0305Z-200111T1000Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AUSTIN BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARRIS HOUSTON JACKSON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY POLK SAN JACINTO
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON


GMZ330-335-350-355-111000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0006.200111T0305Z-200111T1000Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MATAGORDA BAY

GALVESTON BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...HGX...

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0006.html
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1279 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:17 pm

0z ICON (global) is following suit of the HRRR. A moderate band of snow/precip between the Red River and I-20 early tomorrow morning changing from rain to snow. Perhaps some ULL magic??
6 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3186
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020

#1280 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:26 pm

Ntxw wrote:0z ICON (global) is following suit of the HRRR. A moderate band of snow/precip between the Red River and I-20 early tomorrow morning changing from rain to snow. Perhaps some ULL magic??

Starting to rain pretty hard again in Farmers Branch with the wind picking up in intensity. Thinking of setting the alarm for 5 to check the snow situation. That should be early enough to catch any wonderful snow that might fall.
1 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests