TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EST SUN OCT 26 2003
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...THE REMNANT OF FORMER
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS...IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A DISSIPATING
FRONTAL ZONE ABOUT`940 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. THIS SYSTEM
IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST OVER WARMER WATER IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR THIS
SYSTEM TO REDEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ARE SHOWING NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
TWO: NICHOLAS MAKING A COMEBACK!!.......
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dixiebreeze
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cycloneye
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Yes it is the same circulation that was TS nicholas.
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dixiebreeze
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Stormsfury
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http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=17628
I noted that it was still separate from the frontal boundary in thhis thread earlier. The GFDL brings Nicholas back to an entity once again (probably more due to a strong pressure gradient from the STRONG Central Atlantic High than anything else.) But once again, the remnants just doesn't want to go quietly in the night.
Kudos to the NOGAPS 5 days ago keeping Nicholas separate from the frontal system.
I noted that it was still separate from the frontal boundary in thhis thread earlier. The GFDL brings Nicholas back to an entity once again (probably more due to a strong pressure gradient from the STRONG Central Atlantic High than anything else.) But once again, the remnants just doesn't want to go quietly in the night.
Kudos to the NOGAPS 5 days ago keeping Nicholas separate from the frontal system.
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stormchazer
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Nick is trying to fight back!!
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
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