Texas Spring 2020

[South Texas Storms]

Latest model guidance (including long-range) looks really wet for TX! The new Euro Weeklies run shows much of the state getting 5-10 inches of rain through the middle part of May. South Texas even looks likely to get in on the action, which would be much needed.

[TheProfessor]

Just going to look into the future for a bit, but with that we can watch how that future starts to shape up throughout the spring. The things to watch right now is if a drought develops over Florida, the northern Gulf coast continues to stay dry, southeast Texas continues to stay dry, and the Northeast Tx coast/Northwest Gulf get near normal to above normal rain fall. If nothing changes over the next two months then I think you'll see a powerful Bermuda high this Summer with steering that would typically send a storm towards the upper Texas coast or western La. Of course steering currents are never static and they may not be in place when a storm actually develops, but right now I think that could be the predominate pattern. Obviously that's way in the future, but I do think that's something we all need to think about come hurricane season. I know the virus is taking up all the talk right now, but come June 1st everyone on the coast needs to make sure they're ready, but I think people between NOLA and Houston should especially be ready.

Why’s all the rain staying north of the coastal areas along the Gulf coast? We’ve had a difficult time getting widespread heavy rains the past few months in SETX. Are other areas having the same problem?

We've been stuck in a +NAO atmosphere basically all of winter, which mean a prominent southeast ridge. This causes storms to go up and around the southern states and parts of the southeast. We're about to go into a period of -NAO, which will should hopefully help some of the southern places that have been missing out on rain to get some.

[bubba hotep]

Latest model guidance (including long-range) looks really wet for TX! The new Euro Weeklies run shows much of the state getting 5-10 inches of rain through the middle part of May. South Texas even looks likely to get in on the action, which would be much needed.

Here is the 46 day mean for those that are interested

[Cpv17]

Latest model guidance (including long-range) looks really wet for TX! The new Euro Weeklies run shows much of the state getting 5-10 inches of rain through the middle part of May. South Texas even looks likely to get in on the action, which would be much needed.

Here is the 46 day mean for those that are interested

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-weeklies-avg/tx/total_precip_inch/1585526400/1589500800-g1rWtRzMlbM.png

Of course the NE quadrant of the state would get the bullseye

[bubba hotep]

Looks like more of the same for April

[Brent]

I think the GFS is smoking something. This is the last thing I expected to see Of course it is technically April Fools Day even though the news right now is pretty much crazier than anything you could think up

And no it has no snow for DFW but still this is valid Easter too

[bubba hotep]

Euro looks good for S. Texas

[Haris]

Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.

[South Texas Storms]

Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.

I'm excited! Bring on the rain!

[bubba hotep]

Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.

Seems like there is a hangover from the winter busting so bad. Also, I guess people are distracted by other things going on...

[Cerlin]

I’ve been quietly monitoring the weather. But I’m excited to have some storms to track eventually

[Brent]

Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.

Seems like there is a hangover from the winter busting so bad. Also, I guess people are distracted by other things going on...

I'm essential so I'm still on a regular schedule but yeah the virus is even affecting weather talk elsewhere. Seeing the TV mets at home has been jarring too. I had dropped my weathermodels subscription about a month ago when it was obvious winter was over so pretty much I stopped model watching other than the short range for the recent rain til I saw someone else post that GFS last night

Not to get totally into the virus but what's really crazy for me personally is how I was in NYC to start March and only a suburb was locked down and how fast things escalated

[cycloneye]

The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.

[bubba hotep]

[South Texas Storms]

The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.

https://i.imgur.com/jYDYEBP.png

Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!

[Cpv17]

The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.

https://i.imgur.com/jYDYEBP.png

Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!

What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.

[South Texas Storms]

The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.

https://i.imgur.com/jYDYEBP.png

Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!

What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.

According to the Euro Weeklies, we may dry out a bit during the second half of April. However, a wet pattern looks to return during the first half of May.

[captainbarbossa19]

Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!

What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.

According to the Euro Weeklies, we may dry out a bit during the second half of April. However, a wet pattern looks to return during the first half of May.

Let's start with rain first, then the drying period. I had barely over half an inch of rain for the whole month of March. Yearly rainfall now is almost 10 inches below average for my location. It's strange that the systems keep skipping the South and Southeast Texas regions. This needs to change soon or these regions are going to have a severe drought. Last time my area had severe drought conditions was probably in 2013.

[Cpv17]

What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.

According to the Euro Weeklies, we may dry out a bit during the second half of April. However, a wet pattern looks to return during the first half of May.

Let's start with rain first, then the drying period. I had barely over half an inch of rain for the whole month of March. Yearly rainfall now is almost 10 inches below average for my location. It's strange that the systems keep skipping the South and Southeast Texas regions. This needs to change soon or these regions are going to have a severe drought. Last time my area had severe drought conditions was probably in 2013.

Where are you located? I’m in between Wharton and El Campo and we’ve been suffering that same fate here for the most part. We had one lucky exception a couple weekends ago where we actually got almost 4”.

[bubba hotep]

Little storm moving through eastern portions of DFW