BIGGIES for 2020?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#41 Postby DioBrando » Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:11 pm

BadLarry95 wrote:
DioBrando wrote:
BadLarry95 wrote:I’m going with

Hanna- if you know a cute girl with her name on the list... Run!

Kyle- Gonna be punching a lot of holes in dryboard. Sponsored by monster energy drink

Laura- Peak season. Will be active simultaneously as Kyle

Rene- I still don’t trust first use R storms (Roxanne, Rita, Richard, Rina 11, Rafael) they’re all hurricanes and the Caribbean is primed for a big one


HAHAHAHA everyone's been going on about that... most people seem to be poking fun with kyle, bertha and nana on social media...

...imagine if edouard or isaias are the big ones... or something hard to pronounce (well, at least to americans.)



I wonder how people would pronounce them? I’m lazy and just pronounce them as Edward and Aye-zay-us

that's what I was wondering HAHAHAHA... i mean i think the jimmy kimmel show covered cristobal a few years ago? lemme see if i can find the link haha

nvm got it, it's "Jimmy Kimmel-Newscasters Can’t Pronounce Hurricane Cristobal HD" by breakingnewschannel
0 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1246
Age: 38
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#42 Postby FireRat » Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:15 pm

I can see Edouard pronounced as EH-DOO-ARD and Isaias as EE-SAH-EE-US, gonna be loads of fun watching Mets pronounce these storm names this season. :)
1 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#43 Postby DioBrando » Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:20 pm

FireRat wrote:
DioBrando wrote:What about since fabian, joaquin, humberto, lorenzo, gonzalo, jose...? those lot have been up to no good recently.


Yup they have also been big ones, including your namesake Lorenzo!

I can see Edouard pronounced as EH-DOO-ARD and Isaias as EE-SAH-EE-US, gonna be loads of fun watching Mets pronounce these storm names this season. :)

this! I wanna get the reactions from american newscasters (quebec/haiti/spanish territories would get them right though.) I wonder if any of those names were the originals?
1 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#44 Postby DioBrando » Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:25 pm

FireRat wrote:
DioBrando wrote:What about since fabian, joaquin, humberto, lorenzo, gonzalo, jose...? those lot have been up to no good recently.


Yup they have also been big ones, including your namesake Lorenzo!

are you on a list? ;)
0 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#45 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:40 pm

HurricaneRyan wrote:
zal0phus wrote:
SconnieCane wrote:
Three majors is actually pretty darn active, especially if they all make a high-impact landfall somewhere. That's one more than in 2018, and equal to 2019.


True. I think it could be similar to 1999 perhaps, that was a relatively slow year with quite a few majors.


1999 wasn't necessarily slow. Sure, only 12 named storms for the active era. But 5 category 4 hurricanes and ACE pretty much being non-stop for about over a month between Bret and Harvey.


I would not be surprised if Floyd and Lenny turn out to be Category 5 hurricanes.

1999 started early and went quiet. Then it picked up in August. 1999 was a nasty season.
0 likes   

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#46 Postby DioBrando » Sun Apr 05, 2020 6:34 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:
HurricaneRyan wrote:
zal0phus wrote:
True. I think it could be similar to 1999 perhaps, that was a relatively slow year with quite a few majors.


1999 wasn't necessarily slow. Sure, only 12 named storms for the active era. But 5 category 4 hurricanes and ACE pretty much being non-stop for about over a month between Bret and Harvey.


I would not be surprised if Floyd and Lenny turn out to be Category 5 hurricanes.

1999 started early and went quiet. Then it picked up in August. 1999 was a nasty season.


you stuck in 1999? we're using fay and laura xD
0 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

Chris90
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 646
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:36 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#47 Postby Chris90 » Mon Apr 06, 2020 12:11 am

DioBrando wrote:
Ptarmigan wrote:
HurricaneRyan wrote:
1999 wasn't necessarily slow. Sure, only 12 named storms for the active era. But 5 category 4 hurricanes and ACE pretty much being non-stop for about over a month between Bret and Harvey.


I would not be surprised if Floyd and Lenny turn out to be Category 5 hurricanes.

1999 started early and went quiet. Then it picked up in August. 1999 was a nasty season.


you stuck in 1999? we're using fay and laura xD


I'm under the impression that Ptarmigan is talking about the reanalysis project when they get to 1999, and Ptarmigan thinks it is a possibility that Floyd and Lenny from 1999 will be given an upgrade to Category 5. I'm in agreement with Ptarmigan, and think upgrades for those 2 are possible. I personally believe Lenny was briefly a Cat 5, though only a couple of hours. I haven't looked at Floyd as closely.

For this year, I'm going with Isaias and Kyle being big ones, simply because I've thought for a long time that Kyle was going to be big some year, even before all the disdain for the name started on social media, and Isaias I'm throwing in simply because I think it'll be a busy year and it's the I name, which usually has an easy time making a name for itself simply because its place on the name list usually allows it to occur during peak season.

I also do think Isaias will be pronounced wrong. I can't speak for all of the USA, but here in the Midwest the name doesn't come up much and when it does, I've always heard it like I-Zay-Us, which I actually prefer by quite a bit to the 4 syllable pronunciation that is considered correct.
3 likes   
Solar Aquarian
Lunar Cancerian
:uarrow: Sagittarian

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1246
Age: 38
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#48 Postby FireRat » Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:15 am

DioBrando wrote:are you on a list? ;)


not quite lol, my name is German, so the closest thing is Herman, which is an overflow name on the typhoon list lol. My middle name is Andres, which is the spanish version of Andrew. That's as close as it gets for me :lol:

PS.. regarding 1999 I also am on board with Floyd and Lenny being C5's. If Lenny were upgraded, he would be only the 2nd November Cat 5 after the 1932 Cuba hurricane, and also the latest Cat 5 ever recorded. I also have a feeling 2020 could be like 1999, but on crack. '96 and '99 were kind of similar.

I'm sticking with Edouard and Marco as being the future monsters of 2020, both mean hurricanes with perfect "2020" vision. Bertha might be a bizarre July storm again for the 3rd time, lol, and other names that strike me as possibly being either majors or high-impact storms are: Cristobal, Fay, Isaias, Laura, Omar and Teddy if we get that far.
3 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2859
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#49 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Apr 06, 2020 8:55 am

I posted here earlier, but I think I'll also add Laura as a biggie. Part of me also wants to add Marco for some reason, but the last couple of versions of Marco were kind of, well...little and cute. So I keep thinking this one will be too. :wink:
1 likes   

Chris90
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 646
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:36 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#50 Postby Chris90 » Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:58 am

AnnularCane wrote:I posted here earlier, but I think I'll also add Laura as a biggie. Part of me also wants to add Marco for some reason, but the last couple of versions of Marco were kind of, well...little and cute. So I keep thinking this one will be too. :wink:


The little part could really help Marco intensify rapidly, maybe that's why you want to add him as a big bad? A smaller, more compact storm can bomb out exceedingly quick, especially if they're over high ssts with ample heat content. Maybe Marco '20 will be something like Felix '07, a smaller storm that ramps up fast over the Caribbean? Let's hope not.

You might also just be feeling that way because it's the M storm, and the Atlantic hasn't exactly been lucky with those storms lately. Maria and Michael saw to that.
2 likes   
Solar Aquarian
Lunar Cancerian
:uarrow: Sagittarian

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2859
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#51 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Apr 06, 2020 12:36 pm

Chris90 wrote:You might also just be feeling that way because it's the M storm, and the Atlantic hasn't exactly been lucky with those storms lately. Maria and Michael saw to that.



I think that is the likely reason! Although probably not a good enough one.
1 likes   

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#52 Postby DioBrando » Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:15 pm

FireRat wrote:
DioBrando wrote:are you on a list? ;)


not quite lol, my name is German, so the closest thing is Herman, which is an overflow name on the typhoon list lol. My middle name is Andres, which is the spanish version of Andrew. That's as close as it gets for me :lol:

PS.. regarding 1999 I also am on board with Floyd and Lenny being C5's. If Lenny were upgraded, he would be only the 2nd November Cat 5 after the 1932 Cuba hurricane, and also the latest Cat 5 ever recorded. I also have a feeling 2020 could be like 1999, but on crack. '96 and '99 were kind of similar.

I'm sticking with Edouard and Marco as being the future monsters of 2020, both mean hurricanes with perfect "2020" vision. Bertha might be a bizarre July storm again for the 3rd time, lol, and other names that strike me as possibly being either majors or high-impact storms are: Cristobal, Fay, Isaias, Laura, Omar and Teddy if we get that far.


Bertha's bizarre adventure, right?

As for Marco and Edouard, who do you think will win in a battle?
0 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#53 Postby DioBrando » Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:16 pm

AnnularCane wrote:I posted here earlier, but I think I'll also add Laura as a biggie. Part of me also wants to add Marco for some reason, but the last couple of versions of Marco were kind of, well...little and cute. So I keep thinking this one will be too. :wink:

just like how all the humbertos were hurricanes lol
1 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#54 Postby aspen » Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:21 pm

If Marco ends up as one of the big storms of 2020, I have a feeling it’ll be like Dorian — starting out as an adorably tiny, pathetic little storm...and then blow up into some Category 5 monster a week later.
2 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#55 Postby DioBrando » Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:28 pm

aspen wrote:If Marco ends up as one of the big storms of 2020, I have a feeling it’ll be like Dorian — starting out as an adorably tiny, pathetic little storm...and then blow up into some Category 5 monster a week later.

this, tbh

who would be the lorenzo/humberto equivalents?

what about the others though?
1 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1246
Age: 38
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#56 Postby FireRat » Tue Apr 07, 2020 12:14 am

I think Marco could beat Edouard out in intensity, that name just sounds like it could be an epic M hurricane...but Edouard sounds like it would be the larger storm and likely Cape Verde. Marco might be a Caribbean monster. His last several versions featured him as pretty small, and in 1996 he was a bizarro November hurricane in the Caribbean, moved in every direction down there for over a week until almost season's end. Perhaps Marco '20 is something completely different, it feels like he could pull it off in a big way, probably in October!
4 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22

User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#57 Postby DioBrando » Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:40 pm

FireRat wrote:I think Marco could beat Edouard out in intensity, that name just sounds like it could be an epic M hurricane...but Edouard sounds like it would be the larger storm and likely Cape Verde. Marco might be a Caribbean monster. His last several versions featured him as pretty small, and in 1996 he was a bizarro November hurricane in the Caribbean, moved in every direction down there for over a week until almost season's end. Perhaps Marco '20 is something completely different, it feels like he could pull it off in a big way, probably in October!

so what categories are you thinking of?

I honestly wonder if edouard will be as large as lorenzo sizewise

How big was the 1996 storm (sizewise?)

oh dear, IDK I'm vibing with Marco being a big one because it begins with an M
0 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)

User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2366
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#58 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:14 am

Hard Hearted Hanna... :raincloud:
1 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2366
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#59 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:17 am

Now...if there is ever a Maeve on the list...I will bet on that one (West World reference) :lightning: :lightning: :lightning:
1 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1246
Age: 38
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: BIGGIES for 2020?

#60 Postby FireRat » Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:02 am

DioBrando wrote:so what categories are you thinking of?

I honestly wonder if edouard will be as large as lorenzo sizewise

How big was the 1996 storm (sizewise?)

oh dear, IDK I'm vibing with Marco being a big one because it begins with an M


I honestly feel like we may get two Cat 5's in 2020, so maybe Edouard and Marco will have a contest. I don't think Ed would be as big as Lorenzo, man that storm was huge!
Edouard '96 would be considered a small to medium sized hurricane I believe, just a bit bigger than Andrew. I wouldn't be surprised if he was found to have been a low-end Cat 5 on 8/25/96 when he was out in the Atlantic east of the islands, his satellite presentation was classic and the NHC estimated his pressure at 933 mb at that time (could have been lower).
2 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 36 guests