2020 EPAC Season

[aspen]

Does anyone has the earliest date the first named storm formed before May 15? Not saying what some models have will develop,only to find out about that.

May 9th in the EPac, early January in the CPac.

[cycloneye]

This is what the models are hinting to some development.

[Nancy Smar]

Low pressure of 1012 mb is centered near 07N91W.
Latest scatterometer pass indicates gentle to locally moderate
winds within 180 nm SW quadrant of the low.

[Astromanía]

Maybe the first invest at least?

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1251641243869876228

[Yellow Evan]

Worth a 0/20 perhaps?

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1252914056106700803

[cycloneye]

[DorkyMcDorkface]

Would be a neat little surprise. The Atlantic has been the one spitting out pre-season systems like crazy in recent years so it definitely would be interesting to see if the EPAC could manage one.

This would obviously shatter the record for earliest system if it were to come to fruition (TS Adrian which formed May 9th of 2017, as mentioned earlier in this thread).

[Chris90]

It's an interesting little feature. It'd be quite a flip from last year if this pulled it off since we waited what felt like forever last year for Alvin to show up. There would only be a period of 10 months between the first-named storms of the 2019 and 2020 EPAC seasons.

I doubt this feature manages to pull a rabbit out of the hat and get named though. I feel like sometimes the EPAC has to work harder than the ATL to get systems classified since this basin gets minimal recon coverage, much less having recon close off circulations for invests, so I think this would really need to pull off something impressive to get classified in April.
I should note that I'm not complaining about the lack of recon coverage in this basin, I know that a majority of these storms are fish so there's no point wasting resources on them.

I would love for an invest tag on this though. 95S was recently deactivated so there's currently nothing out there. I need something to watch other than Too Hot to Handle on Netflix.

[DioBrando]

It's an interesting little feature. It'd be quite a flip from last year if this pulled it off since we waited what felt like forever last year for Alvin to show up. There would only be a period of 10 months between the first-named storms of the 2019 and 2020 EPAC seasons.

I doubt this feature manages to pull a rabbit out of the hat and get named though. I feel like sometimes the EPAC has to work harder than the ATL to get systems classified since this basin gets minimal recon coverage, much less having recon close off circulations for invests, so I think this would really need to pull off something impressive to get classified in April.
I should note that I'm not complaining about the lack of recon coverage in this basin, I know that a majority of these storms are fish so there's no point wasting resources on them.

I would love for an invest tag on this though. 95S was recently deactivated so there's currently nothing out there. I need something to watch other than Too Hot to Handle on Netflix.

Oh god...

[Astromanía]

Nice structure!

[cycloneye]

INVEST 90E is up

[CyclonicFury]

Even though I don't expect this season to be particularly active, I think the May-July period could actually be above average before the Atlantic takes over.

[Shell Mound]

Even though I don't expect this season to be particularly active, I think the May-July period could actually be above average before the Atlantic takes over.

Interestingly, if this possible TC verifies, then it could be a precursor to robust Niña conditions by ASO. Early EPAC starts often imply a dead peak:
 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1253391029300080643

[Kingarabian]

Alright! The 2020 EPAC season has kicked off and the first storm hasn't been too shabby!

[DorkyMcDorkface]

Alright! The 2020 EPAC season has kicked off and the first storm hasn't been too shabby!

Given that this may be a less active year with -ENSO conditions developing and a -PDO signature, it makes this record-breaking development all the more impressive, IMO. Almost like it wanted to make up for last year's super late start.

[NotSparta]

Alright! The 2020 EPAC season has kicked off and the first storm hasn't been too shabby!

Given that this may be a less active year with -ENSO conditions developing and a -PDO signature, it makes this record-breaking development all the more impressive, IMO. Almost like it wanted to make up for last year's super late start.

I think the less active EPAC seasons tend to have earlier starts, though

[DorkyMcDorkface]

Alright! The 2020 EPAC season has kicked off and the first storm hasn't been too shabby!

Given that this may be a less active year with -ENSO conditions developing and a -PDO signature, it makes this record-breaking development all the more impressive, IMO. Almost like it wanted to make up for last year's super late start.

I think the less active EPAC seasons tend to have earlier starts, though

Interesting...I didn't know that. I'll have to look into that more.

[Yellow Evan]

To be honest I think this could be a sign that conditions won’t be as horrific as some thought in the next month or so at least until we exit an El Nino state but at the same time I wouldn’t read too much into this because this basin is known for high month to month variability.