Texas Spring 2020

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#521 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Apr 28, 2020 4:34 pm

Texas Tech model says Dallas County east, with NAM backing off on western end and largely agreeing. Good thing I got my heavy rain last night.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#522 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Apr 28, 2020 4:44 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Texas Tech model says Dallas County east, with NAM backing off on western end and largely agreeing. Good thing I got my heavy rain last night.

I am not really sure why this is, but I have to note the models’ consistency on it occurring. The line seems to be zippering to the west as it approaches the red river, shrinks as it approaches the area, then reforms shortly after.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#523 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 28, 2020 5:00 pm

Given how explosive the atmosphere is over DFW, I wouldn't worry too much about the individual model outputs. The MCS is already taking shape across northern OK and is going to steamroll southward through DFW.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#524 Postby Brent » Tue Apr 28, 2020 5:35 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Texas Tech model says Dallas County east, with NAM backing off on western end and largely agreeing. Good thing I got my heavy rain last night.

I am not really sure why this is, but I have to note the models’ consistency on it occurring. The line seems to be zippering to the west as it approaches the red river, shrinks as it approaches the area, then reforms shortly after.


Maybe our snow hole is spreading j/k :spam:
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#525 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Apr 28, 2020 7:50 pm

Gotta love our DFW friends, complaining about storms possibly missing them with a record wet start to the year. Meanwhile those of us in south TX can't buy a drop of rain... :roll:

Come on guys, plase share some liquid gold with us!
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#526 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:12 pm

Line is from Michigan to Oklahoma and moving fast. I am thinking a quick hitter with some impressive thunder and lightning with heavy rain for about half an hour. For DFW.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#527 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:33 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Gotta love our DFW friends, complaining about storms possibly missing them with a record wet start to the year. Meanwhile those of us in south TX can't buy a drop of rain... :roll:

Come on guys, plase share some liquid gold with us!


It’s not looking good for widespread rain anytime soon. Not even May is looking promising anymore.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#528 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:36 pm

That is one big severe thunderstorm watch.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#529 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:37 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#530 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:40 pm

00z FWD

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#531 Postby TheProfessor » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:42 pm

We'll likely have some flooding issues here in southern Louisiana. The MCS that's hitting here has been training a bit and we've been getting moderate to heavy rain for the last hour-hour and a half now. It will be interesting to see what this does to the 2nd line to the north. If it comes barreling through here with 60 mph winds and heavy downpours before it weakens we could have some issues with downed trees.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#532 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:48 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#533 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:57 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Gotta love our DFW friends, complaining about storms possibly missing them with a record wet start to the year. Meanwhile those of us in south TX can't buy a drop of rain... :roll:

Come on guys, plase share some liquid gold with us!


It’s not looking good for widespread rain anytime soon. Not even May is looking promising anymore.


It's looking better by the second week of May. We gotta stay patient.
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#534 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:01 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#535 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:12 pm



Huge CAPE is big time DCAPE

Potential for very strong updrafts and destructive downdrafts.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#536 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:17 pm

bubba hotep wrote:


Huge CAPE is big time DCAPE

Potential for very strong updrafts and destructive downdrafts.


Ahh ok. Lots of numbers and not sure what all they meant. Thanks for posting back.

Just put both cars up in the garage, got all the toys outside tied up, trash bins in the garage and flashlights ready. Phone is charging. Anything else? Something I'm forgetting?
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#537 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:22 pm

Fox 4 WAPP looks like the lines on the Red River maybe weakens around Denton then explodes over Dallas and blows south and east as a pretty wicked line?
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#538 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:55 pm

No thanks! Delkus says this from just south of The Falls

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#539 Postby Cerlin » Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:59 pm

bubba hotep wrote:No thanks! Delkus says this from just south of The Falls

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EWvPuC4XsAEFvKH?format=jpg&name=small

That’s some big hail...likely to impact DFW soon. Thank goodness for garages...
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Re: Texas Spring 2020

#540 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Apr 28, 2020 10:08 pm

Breaks in the line. Looks nasty for those not in the break though.
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