BIGGIES for 2020?

[DioBrando]

Haha wow, I can see the Sonic resemblance!

https://i.ibb.co/6tSyH2B/580b57fcd9996e24bc43c337.png

I know, right? Then we have Fran rocking that cowlick.

[AnnularCane]

Haha wow, I can see the Sonic resemblance!

https://i.ibb.co/6tSyH2B/580b57fcd9996e24bc43c337.png

I know, right? Then we have Fran rocking that cowlick.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/31/Fran_September_4_1996_1700Z.png/425px-Fran_September_4_1996_1700Z.png

I almost want to comb it down.

[DioBrando]

Haha wow, I can see the Sonic resemblance!

https://i.ibb.co/6tSyH2B/580b57fcd9996e24bc43c337.png

I know, right? Then we have Fran rocking that cowlick.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/31/Fran_September_4_1996_1700Z.png/425px-Fran_September_4_1996_1700Z.png

I almost want to comb it down.

Comb it down? This is the result:

[Chris90]

Honestly, I think I could have given Bertha '96 a run for her money in a "who wore it better" challenge back in my mid 20s. I did rock a pretty sweet pompadour sometimes.
Now my hairstyle is the equivalent of a convection-less naked swirl... I'm bald, haha.

Hortense probably got her hair that high using some of that special Atlantic Aqua Net hairspray.

Maybe some of this year's storms will have some good hairstyles. If we get some big CV storms (which I think is a good bet) with excellent outflow, especially to the north, we might have some more storms this year that tease their hair up high.

I do think some of the big ones this year could potentially be larger with big moisture envelopes if Africa is as favored as forecast for the MJO. Also, if they manage to develop farther out closer to Africa, they'll have more time to go through ERCs, therefore growing in size, like Irma did back in 2017.

[DioBrando]

Honestly, I think I could have given Bertha '96 a run for her money in a "who wore it better" challenge back in my mid 20s. I did rock a pretty sweet pompadour sometimes.
Now my hairstyle is the equivalent of a convection-less naked swirl... I'm bald, haha.

Hortense probably got her hair that high using some of that special Atlantic Aqua Net hairspray.

Maybe some of this year's storms will have some good hairstyles. If we get some big CV storms (which I think is a good bet) with excellent outflow, especially to the north, we might have some more storms this year that tease their hair up high.

I do think some of the big ones this year could potentially be larger with big moisture envelopes if Africa is as favored as forecast for the MJO. Also, if they manage to develop farther out closer to Africa, they'll have more time to go through ERCs, therefore growing in size, like Irma did back in 2017.

True, Bertha and Hortense probably wore huge JNCOs to go with the look too, after all it was the 90s...

Yeah, I do actually think we'll get to see storms with incredible outflow!

Hmm... Who was pulling this poor storm's luscious mane?

[Shell Mound]

I’ll just post my entire year’s prediction

Arthur- late May 65 mph, non tropical origin off the SE coast, heads OTS
Bertha- mid June, 50 mph, bay of Campeche
Cristobal- early July 80 mph, western Caribbean into gulf. Landfall in MS/AL
Dolly- late July, 60 mph off SE coast. OTS
Edouard- early August, 120 mph, western MDR, grazes Lesser Antilles, recurves between Bermuda and USA
Fay- mid August, 50 mph, northern gulf
Gonzalo- mid August, 70 mph failed eastern MDR storm, clears the way for the train
Hanna- late August long track CV storm. 150 mph, Caribbean rider, landfall between Cancun and Guatemala (think a dean style storm)
Isaías- late August 100 mph, forms near Africa, sheared by Hanna, but goes more north, passing east of Bermuda
Josephine- end August- 85 mph, forme near Bahamas, goes north, hits Canada, possibly Nantucket
Kyle- early September 160 mph, north of Hispaniola, heads WNW, striking southern Dade county as a cat 3, peaks in central gulf, making landfall in SW Louisiana bayous
Laura- early September 110 mph, CV storm on a NW trajectory, recurved early, impacts Azores
Marco- mid September 90 mph central Atlantic, essentially a repeat of Nate from 05
Nana- mid September 45 mph eastern Caribbean, torn up by Hispaniola
Omar- late September 140 mph, classic recurring CV storm
Paulette- late September 65 mph, another failed CV storm, sheared by Omar
Rene- early October 120 mph, forms south of Cuba, enters gulf, swings Nnw striking north of Tampa bay
Sally- mid October 50 mph. Western Caribbean, strikes Honduras
Teddy- mid October. 115 mph Non tropical origin, meanders SE of Bermuda
Vicky- late October 75 mph, western Caribbean, impacts Cuba from the south
Wilfred- Mid November 60 mph SW Caribbean, strikes Nicaragua
Alpha- late November 60 mph non tropical high latitude, forms NÉ of Bermuda, swings up toward Newfoundland
Beta- December 80 mph, E atlantic possible impacts on Azores

amazing but scary predictions!!!!!
what are your analogs by the way and how did you arrive at these predictions?
i was thinking there'd be more classic cv storms like your omar, but i might be a bit crazy in thinking that. similar to 1999 methinks but idek now

(also is isaias spelt with an accent?)

Im just going off a hybrid 2005-2010 type situation developing. SAL will be a bit of a bother, but there will be enough breaks to get my Hanna/Omar style tracks. Other ones like my versions of Isaias and Laura will strengthen quickly, and given their overall NW trajectory will get pulled North faster. But I think the places to watch will be the gulf and western Atlantic. I’ll post a map later tonight.

Also, Isaías just auto corrects to that since I frequently type in Portuguese

Is the map ready yet?

[GrayLancer18]

A lot of the male names in this list sound really strong.

I wouldn't be surprised that this year —if any impacts were to happen— most of the retired names would be the male ones.

History usually favors storms with strong sounding names: Camille, Katrina, Ivan, Andrew, etc.

Heaven forbid we'd have to discuss storms with the names of Nana or Teddy.

[aspen]

Since it seems like we could have an active early season (June-July), probably in the western Caribbean and Gulf, we might get to E or F before August, when the first big storm of the season could form. I’m thinking Fay, Gonzalo, or Hannah could be the first Big One of 2020. Either it will be an August Gulf system like Gustav ‘08 and Harvey ‘17, or a late August/early September MDR monster like Irma ‘17 and Dorian ‘19.

[FireRat]

It's going to be really interesting to see how all this unfolds, and just how active the early season will be. F before August would be nuts, almost 2005-like. Given the consensus of the pros' outlooks and overall early indicators, it looks like the latter half of the 2020 season could be surprisingly active and we may indeed get to the name Teddy, which to me sounds not like a cuddly plush bear, but instead a late Oct/ Nov grisly monster.

These are my latest thoughts...
Bertha - Late June/ July hurricane, Cat 2/3.
Cristobal - July hurricane, Cat 2
Edouard - Late August/ Early Sept Major, Cat 4/5
Isaias - September Major, Cat 3/4
Laura - Sept Hurricane, Cat 2
Marco - Late Sept/ early Oct Monster, Cat 4/5
Rene - Another nasty Oct Hurricane, Cat 2/3
Teddy - Late Oct/ November powerhouse, Cat 4/5.

[DioBrando]

It's going to be really interesting to see how all this unfolds, and just how active the early season will be. F before August would be nuts, almost 2005-like. Given the consensus of the pros' outlooks and overall early indicators, it looks like the latter half of the 2020 season could be surprisingly active and we may indeed get to the name Teddy, which to me sounds not like a cuddly plush bear, but instead a late Oct/ Nov grisly monster.

These are my latest thoughts...
Bertha - Late June/ July hurricane, Cat 2/3.
Cristobal - July hurricane, Cat 2
Edouard - Late August/ Early Sept Major, Cat 4/5
Isaias - September Major, Cat 3/4
Laura - Sept Hurricane, Cat 2
Marco - Late Sept/ early Oct Monster, Cat 4/5
Rene - Another nasty Oct Hurricane, Cat 2/3
Teddy - Late Oct/ November powerhouse, Cat 4/5.

Hey my dude I can totally see something like this happen! Hmm.... IDK but..... Edouard, Isaias and Marco ruffle my feathers.
I also kinda don't trust Teddy because of the cute-creepy associations...

[DioBrando]

Since it seems like we could have an active early season (June-July), probably in the western Caribbean and Gulf, we might get to E or F before August, when the first big storm of the season could form. I’m thinking Fay, Gonzalo, or Hannah could be the first Big One of 2020. Either it will be an August Gulf system like Gustav ‘08 and Harvey ‘17, or a late August/early September MDR monster like Irma ‘17 and Dorian ‘19.

I vote Gonzalo
That name just sounds.... especially following the pattern from the past 5 or so years... of these "exotic-sounding beasts"...

[AnnularCane]

Hey my dude I can totally see something like this happen! Hmm.... IDK but..... Edouard, Isaias and Marco ruffle my feathers.
I also kinda don't trust Teddy because of the cute-creepy associations...

Maybe he'll speak softly and carry a big stick?

[DioBrando]

A lot of the male names in this list sound really strong.

I wouldn't be surprised that this year —if any impacts were to happen— most of the retired names would be the male ones.

History usually favors storms with strong sounding names: Camille, Katrina, Ivan, Andrew, etc.

Heaven forbid we'd have to discuss storms with the names of Nana or Teddy.

I agree, what are the strong-sounding names?

I don't know but... my hunches just tell me the boys are gonna rule the roost again this year.
Like... Dorian, Lorenzo, Humberto... all three sound strong and were indeed the big boys last year... I just had it at the back of my head those three would be notable....
I just think.... judging by patterns from the past 6 years or so.... Gonzalo, Edouard, Marco, Isaias, that lot. Exotic and strong-sounding names... they're the ones I gotta watch out for. What about you?

[DioBrando]

Hey my dude I can totally see something like this happen! Hmm.... IDK but..... Edouard, Isaias and Marco ruffle my feathers.
I also kinda don't trust Teddy because of the cute-creepy associations...

Maybe he'll speak softly and carry a big stick?

Maybe? Also like you're implying Teddy is an old-fashioned name.
Maybe like a Victorian teacher?

[FireRat]

Hey man, you might be onto something with Gonzalo!...I was iffy about that one at first and almost wrote him down. I could swap Gonzo with Laura or Bertha if they fail to deliver, that name does sound quite exotic and important now that I think of it, and Gonzalo would be likely to form in early-mid September, giving him a possible advantage strength-wise. Me thinks Gonzalo and Isaias might have a duel of sorts, to see who dominates that part of the season.

[GrayLancer18]

A lot of the male names in this list sound really strong.

I wouldn't be surprised that this year —if any impacts were to happen— most of the retired names would be the male ones.

History usually favors storms with strong sounding names: Camille, Katrina, Ivan, Andrew, etc.

Heaven forbid we'd have to discuss storms with the names of Nana or Teddy.

I agree, what are the strong-sounding names?

I don't know but... my hunches just tell me the boys are gonna rule the roost again this year.
Like... Dorian, Lorenzo, Humberto... all three sound strong and were indeed the big boys last year... I just had it at the back of my head those three would be notable....
I just think.... judging by patterns from the past 6 years or so.... Gonzalo, Edouard, Marco, Isaias, that lot. Exotic and strong-sounding names... they're the ones I gotta watch out for. What about you?

I see any of the male names between Cristobal to Marco being monster storms to pay attention. I can see Rene being a late October storm threatening Central America like Roxanne or Otto.

As for the female names, Hanna, Josephine and Laura do have an "oomph" factor that have the possibility of being real threats.

[DioBrando]

Hey man, you might be onto something with Gonzalo!...I was iffy about that one at first and almost wrote him down. I could swap Gonzo with Laura or Bertha if they fail to deliver, that name does sound quite exotic and important now that I think of it, and Gonzalo would be likely to form in early-mid September, giving him a possible advantage strength-wise. Me thinks Gonzalo and Isaias might have a duel of sorts, to see who dominates that part of the season.

I'm actually thinking the same! I'm thinking one will do a full on headslam and the other will just whizz away in the middle of the Atlantic harmlessly... IDK but I'm just seeing this scenario. My senses are... tingling.
Just... look at all the Atlantic hurricane seasons between 2013 to now (excluding 2016/2018 because no names sounded "exotic" then), then tell me what you see in all the stronger storms. I saw a pattern, and I think it'll continue.

[DioBrando]

A lot of the male names in this list sound really strong.

I wouldn't be surprised that this year —if any impacts were to happen— most of the retired names would be the male ones.

History usually favors storms with strong sounding names: Camille, Katrina, Ivan, Andrew, etc.

Heaven forbid we'd have to discuss storms with the names of Nana or Teddy.

I agree, what are the strong-sounding names?

I don't know but... my hunches just tell me the boys are gonna rule the roost again this year.
Like... Dorian, Lorenzo, Humberto... all three sound strong and were indeed the big boys last year... I just had it at the back of my head those three would be notable....
I just think.... judging by patterns from the past 6 years or so.... Gonzalo, Edouard, Marco, Isaias, that lot. Exotic and strong-sounding names... they're the ones I gotta watch out for. What about you?

I see any of the male names between Cristobal to Marco being monster storms to pay attention. I can see Rene being a late October storm threatening Central America like Roxanne or Otto.

As for the female names, Hanna, Josephine and Laura do have an "oomph" factor that have the possibility of being real threats.

I can see that! IDK, but... why all between Cristobal to Marco?
IDK but Josephine (OH NO!) gives me the chills.

[GrayLancer18]

I can see that! IDK, but... why all between Cristobal to Marco?
IDK but Josephine (OH NO!) gives me the chills.

All male names between Cristobal to Marco have the "high chance to be retired in 2020" tag on them IMO.
Heck, I'd throw in Arthur too if the season starts late or becomes the next Allison.

[DioBrando]

I can see that! IDK, but... why all between Cristobal to Marco?
IDK but Josephine (OH NO!) gives me the chills.

All male names between Cristobal to Marco have the "high chance to be retired in 2020" tag on them IMO.
Heck, I'd throw in Arthur too if the season starts late or becomes the next Allison.

agreed!
what about the females? esp. considering they were v weak last year...