Expert forecasts for 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season

[cycloneye]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

[plasticup]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

3-6 majors? That would be a bold prediction. I don't think they'll be so aggressive. Your other numbers look good though.

[TheStormExpert]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

3-6 majors? That would be a bold prediction. I don't think they'll be so aggressive. Your other numbers look good though.

I’m thinking:

11-18 Named Storms
5-9 Hurricanes
2-5 Major Hurricanes

A wider range seems likely due to the big differences in the seasonal models such as the CFS/NMME verses the ECMWF/UKMET.

[toad strangler]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

I like your overall storm number but probably too high on canes and majors. I say this because they will undoubtedly go conservative being a government organization.

5-8
2-4

Will be more likely but I love that overall storm range.

[toad strangler]

Wow, NOAA says 60% chance for an above normal season and only a 10% chance for a below normal season. 6-10 canes and 3-6 majors and cycloneye NAILED the storm range ALL THE WAY THROUGH. lol inside info?

https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/busy ... d-for-2020

[Ubuntwo]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

Hmmmmm...

[TheStormExpert]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

Well you're right on the money cycloneye! Do you have a crystal ball or something?

[Kazmit]

I find it interesting that NOAA's numbers are higher than 2017's prediction, which was 11-17 / 5-9 / 2-4.

[CyclonicFury]

I find it interesting that NOAA's numbers are higher than 2017's prediction, which was 11-17 / 5-9 / 2-4.

At this point in 2017, El Niño still looked like a slight possibility. But the MDR was warmer.

[cycloneye]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

Well you're right on the money cycloneye! Do you have a crystal ball or something?

I didn't had inside information, it was only a guess.

[AnnularCane]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

Well you're right on the money cycloneye! Do you have a crystal ball or something?

I didn't had inside information, it was only a guess.

Sooooo...what might the lottery numbers be?

[StruThiO]

I didn't had inside information, it was only a guess.

wtf????????????? uncanny guess cyclone

[stormlover2013]

Lol 13-19 storms pathetic!!! Have some balls and say 17-19 not 13-19.

[TheStormExpert]

Lol 13-19 storms pathetic!!! Have some balls and say 17-19 not 13-19.

How on earth is that pathetic!? They're being conservative! Just take a look at the current Atlantic SST Anomalies and you might see why.

[WeatherEmperor]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

Well you're right on the money cycloneye! Do you have a crystal ball or something?

I didn't had inside information, it was only a guess.

Hey Luis,

If you could pick 6 random numbers and 1 powerball number and PM them to me, I would appreciate it

Very good guess. Lets hope the impacts are not bad this season


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[plasticup]

My guess about what NOAA will have is:

13-19
6-10
3-6

3-6 majors? That would be a bold prediction. I don't think they'll be so aggressive. Your other numbers look good though.

rofl mea culpa

[stormlover2013]

Lol 13-19 storms pathetic!!! Have some balls and say 17-19 not 13-19.

How on earth is that pathetic!? They're being conservative! Just take a look at the current Atlantic SST Anomalies and you might see why.

Come on man 13-19 lol that’s having no confidence, why not 16-19 or 17-19 why 13-19 lol

[toad strangler]

OH WAIT, a jetliner just dropped a chunk of ice in the MDR. Season Cancel.

[cycloneye]

Well you're right on the money cycloneye! Do you have a crystal ball or something?

I didn't had inside information, it was only a guess.

Hey Luis,

If you could pick 6 random numbers and 1 powerball number and PM them to me, I would appreciate it

Very good guess. Lets hope the impacts are not bad this season


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Yes. But seriously,hoping in PR that we dont get another Maria type.

[gfsperpendicular]

Lol 13-19 storms pathetic!!! Have some balls and say 17-19 not 13-19.

How on earth is that pathetic!? They're being conservative! Just take a look at the current Atlantic SST Anomalies and you might see why.

Come on man 13-19 lol that’s having no confidence, why not 16-19 or 17-19 why 13-19 lol

NOAA always uses a TS range of 5-7 in their early forecast. The range of 4 for hurricane and 3 for major is also really common.