When will Cristobal form?

TheStormExpert · #1 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:10 pm

Now that we’ve seen two named storms before June 1st for the third time since 2012 when do you think Cristobal will form and where? I’m going with the somewhere between June 1st-10th in the same spot and timeframe I went for Bertha.

Cycloneye or someone else could you please turn this into a poll. Thanks!

Also btw, June 5th is the earliest formation of the third named storm of the season back in 2016 with Colin.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1265694733050843136

#2 Postby **northjaxpro** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:17 pm

I think it will happen in the next week to 10 days.
I will say June 6 in the GOM

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:42 pm

Made the poll that runs until May 31 at 2:41 PM EDT.

Voted June 11-20.

Siker · #4 Postby **Siker** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:45 pm

I would vote for before June 1st if it was an option - good shot at that thing in the SW Atlantic becoming at least a depression (likely subtropical to start), and it wouldn't take much to squeeze a name out of it.

#5 Postby **psyclone** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:54 pm

I'm cheering on what I call "the moat"...(where moat=the long season separating slop storm season from the real storm season)...August for me

FireRat · #6 Postby **FireRat** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:55 pm

I voted June 11-20, usually the busy part of June in years past for some reason.

aspen · #7 Postby **aspen** » Wed May 27, 2020 1:58 pm

With the possibility of a STC in the south-central Atlantic and that CAG possibly spawning a TC in the Caribbean, I think there’s a decent shot we’ll see Cristobal before June 5th...maybe we’ll see it before June 1st.

Monsoonjr99 · #8 Postby **Monsoonjr99** » Wed May 27, 2020 2:43 pm

I'm also gunning for CAG Cristobal June 1 - 10.

#9 Postby **Kingarabian** » Wed May 27, 2020 2:54 pm

Models show a very CAG-ey setup and I have to say we''ll see our 3rd system in the first week of June.

#10 Postby **AnnularCane** » Wed May 27, 2020 3:31 pm

I'll say June 1-10 too.

Now watch the GFS drop it. :lol:

HurricaneAndre2008 · #11 Postby **HurricaneAndre2008** » Wed May 27, 2020 3:45 pm

SW Atlantic low could form Cristobal yall. That's my take on that. Any thoughts.

HurricaneFrances04 · #12 Postby **HurricaneFrances04** » Wed May 27, 2020 3:48 pm

Before June :A:

#13 Postby **AnnularCane** » Wed May 27, 2020 4:17 pm

HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Before June

I saw what you did there. :lol:

BYG Jacob · #14 Postby **BYG Jacob** » Wed May 27, 2020 4:42 pm

May 30th, and he will be a STS

Shell Mound · #15 Postby **Shell Mound** » Thu May 28, 2020 2:06 am

May someone please add an option for the remaining days of May? I would like to select 31 May.

Aric Dunn · #16 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu May 28, 2020 7:54 am

Shell Mound wrote:May someone please add an option for the remaining days of May? I would like to select 31 May.

Yeah, looking at the area NE of PR this morning.. you might want to add this week to the list..

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 28, 2020 8:12 am

The May 27-31 option has been added to the poll

But the voting before was erased when I edited to add the new option so now the peeps have to vote again if they voted before. The poll closes on May 31 at 2:41 PM EDT.

#18 Postby **chaser1** » Thu May 28, 2020 9:35 am

W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm (and if it's not Cristobal, it'll be Dolly!).

ouragans · #19 Postby **ouragans** » Thu May 28, 2020 9:53 am

chaser1 wrote:W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm (and if it's not Cristobal, it'll be Dolly!).

Maybe we should have a poll for Dolly :lol:

TheStormExpert · #20 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Thu May 28, 2020 9:56 am

ouragans wrote:
chaser1 wrote:W. Caribbean June 2nd, 5:00 pm (and if it's not Cristobal, it'll be Dolly!).

Maybe we should have a poll for Dolly

I was just thinking it should wait but what if Cristobal forms in the Central Atlantic from that Subtropical low in a few days and Dolly ends up forming from the CAG?