Looks solid coming off the Yucatan.

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NDG wrote:Based on first vis satellite loop and surface observations it looks the CoC is now almost due east of Campeche, might be getting back over water faster than forecasted.
https://i.imgur.com/jO7Gd0F.gif
cycloneye wrote:12z Best Track:Location: 19.5°N 90.0°W
Maximum Winds: 30 kt Gusts: nan kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1007 mb
Radius of Circulation: 200 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 150 NM
https://i.imgur.com/LJHw9H5.png
Aric Dunn wrote:pretty straight forward( well curved lol) with surface obs and satellite what is happening. baring any reformations of course.
https://i.ibb.co/yF1ZNMq/Capture.png
aspen wrote:Lots of popping convection on the N through ESE parts of the storm. If that gets a little more centralized or a little more wrapped around the center, I can see it justifying an upgrade back to a TS.
MississippiWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:pretty straight forward( well curved lol) with surface obs and satellite what is happening. baring any reformations of course.
https://i.ibb.co/yF1ZNMq/Capture.png
I believe the center has or is reforming much closer to the NW tip of the Yucatán. I think it is fairly well organized and not as broad as models were predicting. I’m thinking the constant strong convection over the Yucatán helped tighten the vortex again. The Yucatán again did its magic.
TheStormExpert wrote:NDG wrote:Based on first vis satellite loop and surface observations it looks the CoC is now almost due east of Campeche, might be getting back over water faster than forecasted.
https://i.imgur.com/jO7Gd0F.gif
Yes Cristobal is definitely moving north at a decent pace now, faster than forecasted which means it’ll likely for sure emerge into the GoM later or tonight.
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