ATL: CRISTOBAL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bella_may]

Lots of convection firing to the east now

[Frank P]

Seems like they all missed the mark on surge predictions of 3-5 feet.. currently Shell Beach 7.55 feet, Bay St Louis 7.3 feet, and I estimated my area in west Biloxi of 7 feet or so...and this is all during a falling tide.. high tide today was around noon...

[ronjon]

Seems like they all missed the mark on surge predictions of 3-5 feet.. currently Shell Beach 7.55 feet, Bay St Louis 7.3 feet, and I estimated my area in west Biloxi of 7 feet or so...and this is all during a falling tide.. high tide today was around noon...

Yeah that's off quite a bit. These big, large wind field storms seem to always overperform on storm tides even though max winds only 50 mph or so.

[Steve]

I think (?) we are somewhat within the overall circulation. Really really really glad this wasn’t strong as we would have had a lot of interaction with the inner core had it behaved the same. Waiting to see what’s next.

[Stormcenter]

New convection firing off to the south of center for a change.

[Aric Dunn]

convection getting closer to the center with the land friction increasing now that it is over land . it will probably look the best it ever will in a few hours..

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Seems like they all missed the mark on surge predictions of 3-5 feet.. currently Shell Beach 7.55 feet, Bay St Louis 7.3 feet, and I estimated my area in west Biloxi of 7 feet or so...and this is all during a falling tide.. high tide today was around noon...

Not that I doubt you, but do you mind linking a site where you found those readings? I've been struggling the past few minutes to find surge readings.

[Javlin]

Seems like they all missed the mark on surge predictions of 3-5 feet.. currently Shell Beach 7.55 feet, Bay St Louis 7.3 feet, and I estimated my area in west Biloxi of 7 feet or so...and this is all during a falling tide.. high tide today was around noon...

frank came across Popp's Ferry bridge this afternoon and was easy to see why Katrina messed up the Back Bay area all the piers on the S/side by the condos were underwater the fullest I have ever seen the Bay in all my life.

[BobHarlem]

Quite a bit of surge along the MS Gulf coast, see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DxwN12f9rqU

[bella_may]

Just heard a transformer blow and I’m a little ways inland

[Frank P]

Seems like they all missed the mark on surge predictions of 3-5 feet.. currently Shell Beach 7.55 feet, Bay St Louis 7.3 feet, and I estimated my area in west Biloxi of 7 feet or so...and this is all during a falling tide.. high tide today was around noon...

Not that I doubt you, but do you mind linking a site where you found those readings? I've been struggling the past few minutes to find surge readings.

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/water ... id=8747437

That is for BSL.. just go to the home button and find LA

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Seems like they all missed the mark on surge predictions of 3-5 feet.. currently Shell Beach 7.55 feet, Bay St Louis 7.3 feet, and I estimated my area in west Biloxi of 7 feet or so...and this is all during a falling tide.. high tide today was around noon...

Not that I doubt you, but do you mind linking a site where you found those readings? I've been struggling the past few minutes to find surge readings.

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/water ... id=8747437

That is for BSL.. just go to the home button and find LA

Thank you! Hope you're staying safe despite the surge, wind, and rain.

[MidnightRain]

The effects are being felt pretty far east. Lost power here in Pensacola. Minor coastal flooding on the beach and bay side. Awaiting this next band.

[TallyTracker]

Flash flood warnings are up near Perry and Lake City. The bands have been training over the same area for about 36 hours now.

[Frank P]

Short video of storm surge in Biloxi in front of the house earlier, now it is at the base of the sea wall, est 7 feet att

https://youtu.be/KTiE-H1mjZo

[Steve]

In the sunshine now with clouds ene, so that’s your boy’s second center I’ve been awake for. Haha. Big circulation so again I’m glad this wasn’t strong because we’ve been in and around that circulation for a while. I grabbed a picture of the sky which hopefully I can post in the reports thread after the other phone recharges. Winds should flip in about an hour but are still mostly East.

[Aric Dunn]

Landfall one complete. number two coming up in a few hours.. and it might actually look like a TS by that time lol

[Stormcenter]

Yes it probably will.

Landfall one complete. number two coming up in a few hours.. and it might actually look like a TS by that time lol

[NDG]

Landfall one complete. number two coming up in a few hours.. and it might actually look like a TS by that time lol

That eddy is not the true CoC, lol.
At least for now.

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Landfall one complete. number two coming up in a few hours.. and it might actually look like a TS by that time lol

I mean, it's had the classic TS features, just been running around topless. Not sure if you're referring to the mesovortex running around the Mississippi River delta or not, but I'm not entirely sure the exact center has made its landfall, at least based upon what the NHC has been saying.