Texas Summer 2020

[Brent]

Looks like a third day in a row for a storm complex to move out of Oklahoma into North Texas. I'm liking this.

NAM has repeated rounds through at least Tuesday

Today, the first full day of summer was the coolest day of the month

[Brent]

Here we go again

[Texas Snowman]

Here we go again

https://i.ibb.co/d7F4QKQ/Screenshot-20200622-023537.png

Here we go again? You mean like in the winter months when we get stuck in a repeating weather cycle?



Sorry, couldn’t help myself.

[Texas Snowman]

Third night in a row we’ve had thunderstorms here along the Red River.

Had a severe thunderstorm warning here in Grayson County and a Flash Flood Warning to our west in Cooke County. At the Austin College weather station west of town, that gauge has recorded 3.99 inches of rain this month...all in the last three days!!!

Rain in June. I like that about as much as snow in January!!!

[funster]

It rained again last night is fun to say.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Another boundary slowing down right over SE Tx. Big rain numbers already popping up. Lightning is insane in my area.

[WacoWx]

Another .88” last night on top of the 5.25” from the night before. Looking forward to more.

Suns out now in north Dallas.

[Cpv17]

Another boundary slowing down right over SE Tx. Big rain numbers already popping up. Lightning is insane in my area.

Yeah it’s crazy here too at my job in Rosenberg. Definitely felt the hairs on my neck stand up a few times.

[gpsnowman]

It looks like the Saharan dust should reach the GOM by Friday and Saturday. The Deep South and even eastern Texas could see dusty skies from a dust cloud that originated thousands of miles away. Pretty cool. The earth is an amazing little marble in a universe full of marbles.

[EnnisTx]

Looks like a third day in a row for a storm complex to move out of Oklahoma into North Texas. I'm liking this.

NAM has repeated rounds through at least Tuesday

Today, the first full day of summer was the coolest day of the month

I can take it all Summer!!

[bubba hotep]

[bubba hotep]

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0367
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1115 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020

Areas affected...TX Panhandle and Red River Valley

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 230314Z - 230914Z

Summary...Organizing thunderstorms this evening will track
southeastward over portions of the Texas Panhandle and Red River
Valley. A few inches of heavy rainfall in a short period will be
possible and this could lead to localized flash flooding.

Discussion...In northwest flow aloft on the edge of a deeper
trough over the Upper Midwest, a weak perturbation is noted in the
latest water vapor over the Texas Panhandle. Convection continues
to pulse up per recent cooling cloud tops as well as congeal into
a few broken lines that are drifting east/southeast. The current
environment is characterized by an impressive instability gradient
of 3000-4000 J/kg MUCAPE south of the convective complex. VWP
shows a steady increase in the low level jet that is expected to
further ramp up later this evening and help flow the
warm/moist/unstable air into the approaching complex. 850 mb winds
are forecast to increase from around 15 to near 30 kts helping to
push upwards of 1.75" PWs into the region. As storms approach
north Texas and the Red River region, a lingering surface boundary
is currently analyzed, and this could further enhance the low
level convergence and act as a focus for the convection. This
could lead to further convective development, cell mergers, and
with the mean flow out of the northwest too, some backbuilding or
training is possible. The latest hi-res guidance shows very high
probabilities of exceeding 1"/hr totals this evening and a
moderate signal for 2"/hr totals from 07-11Z. 2-3" totals through
09Z appear possible with some localized 3-4" totals not out of the
question for areas with repeating/backbuilding rounds of storms.

The other factor enhancing flash flood potential is relative high
soil moisture and saturation across portions of the Red River
Valley and north Texas. The 7-day precipitation anomalies are
300-600 percent of normal thanks to several episodes of heavy
rainfall. As such, the latest FFG is lowered. The 18Z HREF
probabilities of exceeding the 3-hr and 6-hr FFG range from 40 to
60 percent. Given the expected additional rainfall threat over
some areas with saturated soils, instances of flash flooding will
be possible.

Taylor

ATTN...WFO...AMA...FWD...LUB...OUN...SJT...

[Brent]

The parade continues

[gpsnowman]

Well good morning thunderstorms, nice to see you again. Please continue with your morning appearances.

[weatherdude1108]

POURING rain here with wind and lightning! 1.25" banked in the gauge, just since after 6am. Bring it!

[bubba hotep]

DFW with a bit of a jackpot with about 2.5" of rain from this batch of storms putting the airport station at 5.3" for the month of June. That puts DFW 2.3" above normal for June and 11" above for the year! That should keep the lakes in good shape as we head into July and August. Also, did anyone notice the 00z Euro and the 22" between Austin and San Antonio?!

[rwfromkansas]

Almost 4.5 inches IMBY since this started. Nice. I think this is it for awhile though.

[Ntxw]

DFW with a bit of a jackpot with about 2.5" of rain from this batch of storms putting the airport station at 5.3" for the month of June. That puts DFW 2.3" above normal for June and 11" above for the year! That should keep the lakes in good shape as we head into July and August. Also, did anyone notice the 00z Euro and the 22" between Austin and San Antonio?!

30.46 inches so far for the year is pretty healthy. Barring some insane dry spell we should be in the 40-50 inch range which is well above average if we get at least normal rainfall the rest of the way.

Interestingly despite the Ocean moving towards a La Nina, the month of June has seen some huge -SOI tanks. -40s early month and -30s last week.

Code: Select all

Date   Tahiti (hPa)   Darwin (hPa)   Daily Contribution   30 day Av. SOI   90 day Av. SOI
23 Jun 2020   1015.31   1012.75   8.93   -7.82   -3.04
22 Jun 2020   1013.54   1011.90   2.46   -8.59   -3.20
21 Jun 2020   1011.56   1012.35   -14.62   -8.82   -3.34
20 Jun 2020   1010.11   1013.65   -33.95   -8.16   -3.31
19 Jun 2020   1010.73   1014.00   -32.05   -6.66   -3.01
18 Jun 2020   1011.31   1014.40   -30.79   -5.81   -2.73
17 Jun 2020   1011.70   1013.60   -22.42   -5.07   -2.48
16 Jun 2020   1011.95   1012.35   -11.88   -4.32   -2.40
15 Jun 2020   1011.00   1012.90   -22.42   -3.54   -2.50
14 Jun 2020   1012.84   1012.75   -8.44   -2.37   -2.42
13 Jun 2020   1013.92   1011.40   8.65   -2.12   -2.36
12 Jun 2020   1014.20   1011.10   12.72   -2.11   -2.41
11 Jun 2020   1013.53   1012.10   0.98   -2.03   -2.55
10 Jun 2020   1014.50   1013.70   -3.45   -1.94   -2.57
9 Jun 2020   1015.28   1012.95   7.31   -1.77   -2.50
8 Jun 2020   1014.40   1011.35   12.37   -1.93   -2.57
7 Jun 2020   1011.14   1011.80   -13.71   -1.99   -2.80
6 Jun 2020   1009.02   1013.20   -38.45   -1.36   -2.68
5 Jun 2020   1009.05   1014.40   -46.68   -0.45   -2.27
4 Jun 2020   1011.69   1015.15   -33.39   0.77   -1.81
3 Jun 2020   1013.83   1014.90   -16.59   1.82   -1.45
2 Jun 2020   1015.15   1014.15   -2.04   2.54   -1.19
1 Jun 2020   1017.01   1014.35   9.63   2.85   -1.07

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

I'm sitting at 5.77 for June, which is amazing given the first 18 days were bone dry. 31.78 for the year.

[Haris]

1.4” of rain this morning at my place. Was amazing to see it pour after a freaking month.

Unfortunately most models including the latest euro show that this is it for the week. I was hoping for more rounds.