How many named storms will form in July?
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- cycloneye
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
This poll closes on Tuesday June 30th at 5:01 PM EDT so those who still have not voted hurry to cast a vote.
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- cycloneye
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
Hurry to those who have not voted yet as the poll closes at 5:01 PM.
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- cycloneye
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
The option with the most votes was two.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
I'm wondering with the huge influx of Saharan dust if the NHC is going to be dropping their predicted number of storms for the season?
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm wondering with the huge influx of Saharan dust if the NHC is going to be dropping their predicted number of storms for the season?
Unlikely. This happens every single year. One of the main reasons why this particular outbreak is this large is due to stronger than normal waves provoking the SAL.
Last season didn't even have the D storm until almost September, and we ended with 18.
Currently, the next storm is the 5th named storm, and it is July 1st.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
AxaltaRacing24 wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm wondering with the huge influx of Saharan dust if the NHC is going to be dropping their predicted number of storms for the season?
Unlikely. This happens every single year. One of the main reasons why this particular outbreak is this large is due to stronger than normal waves provoking the SAL.
Last season didn't even have the D storm until almost September, and we ended with 18.
Currently, the next storm is the 5th named storm, and it is July 1st.
Good point...
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
Not even mid-month yet and we're sitting at two named storms
At this point, I'd say that those guessing 3 or even four are sitting pretty

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- northjaxpro
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
chaser1 wrote:Not even mid-month yet and we're sitting at two named stormsAt this point, I'd say that those guessing 3 or even four are sitting pretty
Yes indeed! I was among those who predicted 3.

We may see 4 before the month ends.....
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- AnnularCane
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
I predicted two. I thought 3 or 4 might be a bit much. 

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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
northjaxpro wrote:chaser1 wrote:Not even mid-month yet and we're sitting at two named stormsAt this point, I'd say that those guessing 3 or even four are sitting pretty
Yes indeed! I was among those who predicted 3.
We may see 4 before the month ends.....
I think your "3" is going to be the magic number.
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Andy D
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
AnnularCane wrote:I predicted two. I thought 3 or 4 might be a bit much.
Not this year 2020 as it is turning out to be!!
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- northjaxpro
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
chaser1 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:chaser1 wrote:Not even mid-month yet and we're sitting at two named stormsAt this point, I'd say that those guessing 3 or even four are sitting pretty
Yes indeed! I was among those who predicted 3.
We may see 4 before the month ends.....
I think your "3" is going to be the magic number.
Well, we will see. We still have quite a bit of ample time, three weeks left in the month, and I fully anticipate the MDR to start getting cranked up out there for development later this month. A fourth named storm in the month is quite possible.
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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
With Edouard, Fay, and 7, plus 91L and the wave that the models are liking maybe 6-8 days from now, it looks like my recklessly aggressive prediction of 5 might have a chance after all. 

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- northjaxpro
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
northjaxpro wrote:chaser1 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:
Yes indeed! I was among those who predicted 3.
We may see 4 before the month ends.....
I think your "3" is going to be the magic number.
Well, we will see. We still have quite a bit of ample time, three weeks left in the month, and I fully anticipate the MDR to start getting cranked up out there for development later this month. A fourth named storm in the month is quite possible.
Well it is quite fair for me to say that what I mentioned earlier in the month just may be proven correct after all!

There is a chance that we may even see a fifth named storm for the month out in the MDR, as a very strong wave behind Gonzalo, is coming on its heels in the next few days. The models are latching onto it to develop.
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
gfsperpendicular wrote:With Edouard, Fay, and 7, plus 91L and the wave that the models are liking maybe 6-8 days from now, it looks like my recklessly aggressive prediction of 5 might have a chance after all.
Congrats being the only person in the poll to guess it right!

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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
Monsoonjr99 wrote:gfsperpendicular wrote:With Edouard, Fay, and 7, plus 91L and the wave that the models are liking maybe 6-8 days from now, it looks like my recklessly aggressive prediction of 5 might have a chance after all.
Congrats being the only person in the poll to guess it right!
Haha thank you! For a second there I was worried I would've undershot it, too...
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Re: How many named storms will form in July?
TheStormExpert wrote:i went with two. I think SAL will limit July's potential, but August could be quite different.
Well I was off by three.

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