2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

[Aric Dunn]

There's a nearly convection-free but clearly defined closed circulation near 50W--It seems that the low level conditions are significantly more favorable than in most recent years even at 20N so its now just a matter of the dry subsiding air clearing out.

Yeah it appears to be one of those years where there are Vort/Swirls all over the place.

and they can randomly develop if they find the right conditions.

similar to 2005.

[aspen]

The amount of warming in the tropical Atlantic over the last few days is insane. The MDR has shot up to a mean +0.59 C anomaly, while the Caribbean has warmed up even more to +0.716 C...and both were running 0.0-0.2 C above average before this week.

[gatorcane]

The SAL is expansive as would be expected this time of year. The GFS continues to show dry air everywhere across the MDR for the foreseeable future:

[cycloneye]

Also the MDR is leading the global tropics.

[cycloneye]

This is the real one for Sal.

[toad strangler]

This is the real one for Sal.

https://i.imgur.com/xfZ1fHN.jpg

Indeed, SAL is pretty scattershot in coverage now away from the immediate African coast / Cabo Verde area.

[Aric Dunn]

This is the real one for Sal.

https://i.imgur.com/xfZ1fHN.jpg

Indeed, SAL is pretty scattershot in coverage now away from the immediate African coast / Cabo Verde area.

SAL producing regions had some rain the last couple weeks. overall moisture will continue to increase across the MDR

[USTropics]

Something to take notice of, over the past 30 runs of the CFS, there has been a slow correction for August VP anomalies propagation towards Africa:

[NDG]

This is the real one for Sal.

https://i.imgur.com/xfZ1fHN.jpg

Indeed, SAL is pretty scattershot in coverage now away from the immediate African coast / Cabo Verde area.

SAL producing regions had some rain the last couple weeks. overall moisture will continue to increase across the MDR

Indeed, compared to just a few days ago dust has really come down some, but there's another one being forecasted next week but nothing close to earlier in the month, the western Atlantic Basin is mostly clear of any dust.

[cycloneye]

Yikes.

 https://twitter.com/TylerJStanfield/status/1284834807864852481




 https://twitter.com/TylerJStanfield/status/1281041022890528768

[toad strangler]

Something to take notice of, over the past 30 runs of the CFS, there has been a slow correction for August VP anomalies propagation towards Africa:

https://i.ibb.co/KFZLPVw/cfs-mon-01-chi200-global-fh1-trend-4.gif

Meaning?

[SFLcane]

Something to take notice of, over the past 30 runs of the CFS, there has been a slow correction for August VP anomalies propagation towards Africa:

https://i.ibb.co/KFZLPVw/cfs-mon-01-chi200-global-fh1-trend-4.gif

Meaning?

Hi Toad,

It's correcting towards a less hostile look.

[NDG]

There's definitely not a drop of dust in the western basin right now, nice tropical clean skies over central FL.

[AutoPenalti]

Something to take notice of, over the past 30 runs of the CFS, there has been a slow correction for August VP anomalies propagation towards Africa:

https://i.ibb.co/KFZLPVw/cfs-mon-01-chi200-global-fh1-trend-4.gif

Meaning?

Hi Toad,

It's correcting towards a less hostile look.

It seems relatively the same to me, I could be wrong.

[IsabelaWeather]

There's definitely not a drop of dust in the western basin right now, nice tropical clean skies over central FL.

https://i.imgur.com/27JE9dI.jpg

Nothing in the central atlantic either. Havent had any dust in quite some time

[hurricanes1234]

Same here in T&T. This week is the first time in maybe weeks that I can actually look up into a clear, blue sky (and not a white sky, a light brown sky, a bluish-brown sky, etc).

[abajan]

Same here in T&T. This week is the first time in maybe weeks that I can actually look up into a clear, blue sky (and not a white sky, a light brown sky, a bluish-brown sky, etc).

Ditto for Barbados.

[cycloneye]

In the past four days it has been a clear blue sky here in Puerto Rico.

[TheStormExpert]

Take this into consideration.

 https://twitter.com/derekortt/status/1284908629615935489

[Hammy]

Take this into consideration.

https://twitter.com/derekortt/status/1284908629615935489

The GFS has had a terrible history over the last few years in the Atlantic, with some exceptions obviously, of under-developing or simply not developing systems until a few days before they actually form--so this wouldn't surprise me in the least. I think they over-corrected the problem that was causing the Atlantic phantom storms.