Red dashed line is the feeder band.
Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba (Is Invest 91L)
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Looking at this more closely with radar and station plots, the blue circle suggests a possible near-surface vort.
Red dashed line is the feeder band.
Red dashed line is the feeder band.
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
alan1961 wrote:Think this is the spot where there is rotation.
https://img.techpowerup.org/200721/screenhunter-01-jul-21-14-51.jpg
https://img.techpowerup.org/200721/screenhunter-02-jul-21-14-55.jpg
Radar is showing a cell south of that swirl moving west.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
alan1961 wrote:Think this is the spot where there is rotation.
https://img.techpowerup.org/200721/screenhunter-01-jul-21-14-51.jpg
https://img.techpowerup.org/200721/screenhunter-02-jul-21-14-55.jpg
Yes that is the area I outlined a couple hours ago.. it is also the area the mesoscale models develop pretty quickly. though it is already ahead of those models.
It will take more convection to close it off at the surface.
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Delete
Radar took too long.
Radar took too long.
Last edited by GCANE on Tue Jul 21, 2020 9:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Aric Dunn wrote:Actually It is looking like less of a Transient feature.. starting to gain some traction...
Yeah, interesting looking swirl on visibles. We'll have to see how much convection it can produce or if it leaves it behind.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
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tropicwatch
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
I would think this would get an Invest tag pretty soon.
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Recon might be a go after all this afternoon, convection has indeed fired close to the surface vorticity over in the southern GOM, but send in a recon when it has not even tagged as an Invest yet? That would be a first probably 
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
NDG wrote:Recon might be a go after all this afternoon, convection has indeed fired close to the surface vorticity over in the southern GOM, but send in a recon when it has not even tagged as an Invest yet? That would be a first probably
Nope, they canceled the recon
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Organizing convergence band developing. beginning to see some low level easterly moving inflow into that burst... if that keeps building this wont take long at all.
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Most of the models seem to indicate Thursday (day after tomorrow) is when it consolidates most.
Latest QPF still shows most of the rain along the coast.
Latest QPF still shows most of the rain along the coast.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Steve wrote:Most of the models seem to indicate Thursday (day after tomorrow) is when it consolidates most.
Latest QPF still shows most of the rain along the coast.
https://i.imgur.com/lpgx3PK.gif
assuming you go off the ( doing not so good) global models on genesis this year lol
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Stormcenter
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
I can’t see the rain staying along the coast. IMO
Steve wrote:Most of the models seem to indicate Thursday (day after tomorrow) is when it consolidates most.
Latest QPF still shows most of the rain along the coast.
https://i.imgur.com/lpgx3PK.gif
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Where is the invest? This is so strange. 
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tropicwatch
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
panamatropicwatch wrote:I would think this would get an Invest tag pretty soon.
Eventually NHC will tag it, probably late this afternoon.
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
Stormcenter wrote:I can’t see the rain staying along the coast. IMOSteve wrote:Most of the models seem to indicate Thursday (day after tomorrow) is when it consolidates most.
Latest QPF still shows most of the rain along the coast.
https://i.imgur.com/lpgx3PK.gif
The Euro has around 17" of rain over the Greater San Antonio area.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Over the Bahamas/Cuba
No surprise that recon was canceled. See the Tuesday TCPOD on this thread.
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