ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 91, 2020072118, , BEST, 0, 252N, 847W, 25, 1014, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 120, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018, SPAWNINVEST, al792020 to al912020,

The Talking Tropics thread for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=121012

[dantonlsu]

Here we go!

[SoupBone]

We getting a model thread or is it too late?

[Steve]

Agreed (continuing Talkin Tropics thread discussion). And since it's a back-to-back situation for that part of the Gulf, I wonder if we'll get a repeat. Maybe 91L is a little farther south when it goes in, but it's too hard to say yet. What's also unclear is whether 91L is going to move out or stick around. Some of the models have it sticking around, so it remains to be seen if Texas is going to have flash flooding.

[gfsperpendicular]

TT thread for future reference

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=121012

[Extratropical94]

Initial coordinates were a bit off (at least on the NRL page), but they corrected it.
Also the winds are now 25kts.

AL, 91, 2020072118, , BEST, 0, 252N, 847W, 25, 1014, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 120, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018, SPAWNINVEST, al792020 to al912020,

[cycloneye]

Initial coordinates were a bit off (at least on the NRL page), but they corrected it.
Also the winds are now 25kts.

AL, 91, 2020072118, , BEST, 0, 252N, 847W, 25, 1014, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 120, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018, SPAWNINVEST, al792020 to al912020,

Thank you for that.

[Aric Dunn]

Initial coordinates were a bit off (at least on the NRL page), but they corrected it.
Also the winds are now 25kts.

AL, 91, 2020072118, , BEST, 0, 252N, 847W, 25, 1014, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 120, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018, SPAWNINVEST, al792020 to al912020,

Thank you for that.

Just glad they did not stick it over Cuba .. lol

[Aric Dunn]

There is definitely light West and SW inflow picking up now. a good pop of convection and it would work to the surface and then off we go..

[Aric Dunn]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

[dantonlsu]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

I could see a TD by tomorrow.

[aspen]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

I have some doubts...maybe very late tomorrow at the earliest.

[CronkPSU]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

oh we will definitely be spending all day debating it...that is a given in this forum

[GCANE]

Popups firing off the far west end of Cuba.
Going to feed our LL vort.

[northjaxpro]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

Now, Aric, you know it would be very atypical to not have our usual debates like what you pointed out on here at Storm2K. It is all part of the fun during tropical cyclone season and why I come on here when I can of course!

[Aric Dunn]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

Now, Aric, you know it would be very atypical to not have our usual debates like what you pointed out on here at Storm2K. It is all part of the fun during tropical cyclone season and why I come on here when I can of course!

True true..

just that everyone is following the very lacking global models.. so my wager is.. global models or mesocale ...

I say much sooner rather than later..

[dantonlsu]

SO who wants to bet we have TD/TS tomorrow by the time Recon gets there... and we all spend the day debating if it is or isn't lol ????

Now, Aric, you know it would be very atypical to not have our usual debates like what you pointed out on here at Storm2K. It is all part of the fun during tropical cyclone season and why I come on here when I can of course!

True true..

just that everyone is following the very lacking global models.. so my wager is.. global models or mesocale ...

I say much sooner rather than later..

Thinking a Tropical Storm at landfall?

[Aric Dunn]

Now, Aric, you know it would be very atypical to not have our usual debates like what you pointed out on here at Storm2K. It is all part of the fun during tropical cyclone season and why I come on here when I can of course!

True true..

just that everyone is following the very lacking global models.. so my wager is.. global models or mesocale ...

I say much sooner rather than later..

Thinking a Tropical Storm at landfall?

It si 2020 and the gulf .. so who knows lol

[psyclone]

Hopefully another fun, porch sitting, break the heat, early season appetizer. We've certainly had some nice gusty squally showers setting sail from the west coast of florida pushing into the gulf today. very nice...

[GCANE]

This is starting to look serious.
The biggest CAPE is under the heavy convection indicating this is a major feeder band.
AND resulting convection from it, just north of Havana, is getting intense.