High Res Visible / SFC Plot of SW Atlantic Low

[wxman57]

Just snapped a shot of the low south of Bermuda. You can make out the remnants of Nicholas on the north side of a broad low-level circulation (just a small vortex near 29.5N/62.5W). This vortex is on the north side of a much larger circulation with another vortex closer to 25.5N/65W. Actually, Nicholas looks as "good" now as it did when the NHC was still calling it a TS for 3 days. Wonder why they haven't upgraded it yet....

<img src="http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/disturb.gif">

[cycloneye]

Yes little tight circulation there but will it have the chance to redevelop is the question.

[Steve H.]

Now will the LLC to the south absorb Nicholas?

[Steve H.]

Of Interest.....Re-developing low AND South of Bermuda Low.

Area Forecast Discussion (Jacksonville, FL)

AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
242 PM EST TUE OCT 28 2003

RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS MAIN CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES. SFC LOW IN NE GULF CONTINUES TO
DEEPEN WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO JUST NORTH OF JAX.
EXPECT LOW TO MOVE ENE OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY REDEVELOPING OFF THE EAST
COAST. AS THE THE UPPER FEATURE TRAVERSES THE AREA LIFT SHOULD
SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA WHICH HAS BEEN SPARED THE HEAVY
RAINFALL THUS FAR. RAIN TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT
WITH MOST AREAS DRY BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS OVER SOUTHEAST WITH SFC HIGH BUILDING
NORTH OF THE AREA AND CONTRIBUTING TO EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WHICH
WILL BECOME A FIXTURE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. HAVE KEPT
POPS CONFINED TO COASTAL WATERS AND COASTAL LAND AREAS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. FLY IN OINTMENT COULD BE SUBTROPICAL LOOKING LOW SOUTH OF
BERMUDA. THIS LOW MAY BECOME TRAPPED UNDERNEATH RIDGE AND BE PUSHED
TOWARDS FLORIDA IN THE SUN/MON TIME FRAME...INCREASING WINDS AND THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WILL NOT BITE ON THIS YET AND WAIT ON A FEW MORE
MODEL RUNS.

[Dave C]

Did you also notice LLC moving through NW Carrabean?. You can see upper level N. winds blowing across it but appears to be moving WNW towards lighter upper-winds near center of upper-high it's moving underneath. Probably will get "sucked" up into mess in Gulf of Mexico eventually.

[dixiebreeze]

"FLY IN OINTMENT COULD BE SUBTROPICAL LOOKING LOW SOUTH OF
BERMUDA. THIS LOW MAY BECOME TRAPPED UNDERNEATH RIDGE AND BE PUSHED
TOWARDS FLORIDA IN THE SUN/MON TIME FRAME...INCREASING WINDS AND THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WILL NOT BITE ON THIS YET AND WAIT ON A FEW MORE
MODEL RUNS."

Very pertinent statement IMO. Now that would really wind up an unusual season if Nicholas actually made a comeback and bothered Florida!