ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

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ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#461 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:44 pm

:lightning: What is it with TX and 'H' storms anyway :lightning:
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#462 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:46 pm

It has the look...
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#463 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:46 pm

It's shocking that they can't find winds strong enough to support upgrading to tropical storm with this appearance. Must be an extremely loose pressure gradient.

Image
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#464 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:49 pm

That low level cloud motion is ominous, practically the entire Gulf spinning into this
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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#465 Postby TexasSam » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:51 pm

I haven't looked at it in about 5 hours. Big change.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#466 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:51 pm

Sciencerocks wrote:It's shocking that they can't find winds strong enough to support upgrading to tropical storm with this appearance. Must be an extremely loose pressure gradient.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/4207/oxrVJx.gif


what do you mean ? it has not been sampled since this morning..

and they found plenty of evidence. if they choose not upgrade it is not because of lack of support. .
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#467 Postby BYG Jacob » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:53 pm

GCANE wrote:Turn on UL WV.
Only one word, its starts with an F.

https://i.imgur.com/Fk57hBL.png

A perfectly vented storm in the gulf? Ruh roh raggy
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#468 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:54 pm

pressure now falling rapidly.

two mb lower than when recon was there. and the buoy is not in the center yet.

probably down to 1005mb and with this type of convection ... will likely drop very rapidly for the next several hours.

Image
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#469 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:54 pm

I really personally believe this is Hanna.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#470 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:55 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:pressure now falling rapidly.

two mb lower than when recon was there. and the buoy is not in the center yet.

probably down to 1005mb and with this type of convection ... will likely drop very rapidly for the next several hours.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=42395&meas=pres&uom=E&time_diff=-5&time_label=CDT


Sign of rapid strengthening?
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#471 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:58 pm

HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:pressure now falling rapidly.

two mb lower than when recon was there. and the buoy is not in the center yet.

probably down to 1005mb and with this type of convection ... will likely drop very rapidly for the next several hours.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=42395&meas=pres&uom=E&time_diff=-5&time_label=CDT


Sign of rapid strengthening?


could be the start.. have to see what happens with the convection.. one big burst and it is liklely going to deepen quicker than everyone thinks.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#472 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:58 pm

TXNT27 KNES 231818
TCSNTL

A. 08L (NONAME)

B. 23/1731Z

C. 26.2N

D. 91.3W

E. THREE/GOES-E

F. T2.5/2.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...5/10 BANDING WAS MEASURED AROUND THE LLCC, RESULTING IN A
DT OF 2.5. THE MET IS A 2.0 AND THE PT IS A 2.5. THE FT IS BASED ON PT,
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY OF THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE LLCC.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...MLEVINE
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#473 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:59 pm

The way that tower is moving SSE - Hmmmm
Last edited by GCANE on Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#474 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:59 pm

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 23 JUL 2020 Time : 192024 UTC
Lat : 26:30:14 N Lon : 91:14:03 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.5 /1002.5mb/ 35.0kt
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#475 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:01 pm

GCANE wrote:The way that tower is moving SSE - Hmmmm


exactly.. then it starts moving north then NW then BOOM>.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#476 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:02 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#477 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:02 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:The way that tower is moving SSE - Hmmmm


exactly.. then it starts moving north then NW then BOOM>.

Sounds about right
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#478 Postby abk_0710 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:04 pm

HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:The way that tower is moving SSE - Hmmmm


exactly.. then it starts moving north then NW then BOOM>.

Sounds about right


Explain please.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#479 Postby psyclone » Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:11 pm

Eight is looking....great. WPC has lots of QPF for coastal areas from Mobile bay westward so lots of convective ticket cashing incoming. Hopefully the Texas crew has a fun system with needed rain and a break from the heat. We got boatloads on my side of the gulf and the humans and frogs are plenty happy.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#480 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:13 pm

Fun system?

psyclone wrote:Eight is looking....great. WPC has lots of QPF for coastal areas from Mobile bay westward so lots of convective ticket cashing incoming. Hopefully the Texas crew has a fun system with needed rain and a break from the heat. We got boatloads on my side of the gulf and the humans and frogs are plenty happy.
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