wxman57 wrote:I don't expect it to do much for the next couple of days due to its very fast west movement. Should be a TD by Wednesday and a TS as it enters the NE Caribbean Wednesday night. Near the Bahamas next Fri/Sat, quite possibly as a hurricane. Beyond then, who knows? Models indicate a trof off the East U.S. Coast next weekend. If it's stronger, it could be steered north, missing the US to the east. For now, I'd put my money on a Carolinas hit early next week. Way too far out and very low confidence on that forecast, though. I think if it's slower to develop and is weaker, then a more westerly track, which could take it to the NW Caribbean in 7-8 days.
I really hope it evades the NE Caribbean because the islands have gone thru a lot lately with Irma and Maria and of course dealing now with covid-19.There are still parts of some of the islands that not recovered yet from the hurricanes like here in PR where believe it or not there are over 30,000 homes with blue tarps.
