ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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tiger_deF
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1121 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:36 pm

Have to say no matter what 92L does I would say it has earned a place in the story of the season just for it's sheer size and the model disagreement/center forecasting
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1122 Postby Texashawk » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:36 pm

And here we have a PTC with over 1100 posts.
Are we sure the name isn’t going to be Godot? :ggreen:
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1123 Postby STRiZZY » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:39 pm

New convection firing near the center now. Looking a lot better than it did earlier.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1124 Postby CM2 » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:41 pm

STRiZZY wrote:New convection firing near the center now. Looking a lot better than it did earlier.

You're talking about right ontop of Barbados? Yeah I see that too, I hope the recon goes into it.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1125 Postby CM2 » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:42 pm

Texashawk wrote:And here we have a PTC with over 1100 posts.
Are we sure the name isn’t going to be Godot? :ggreen:

Well, I mean it's not like thre's any other system to talk about here. Plus this thing can range from a strong hurricane to nothing. One thing is for sure, as annoying as forecasting this thing has been, it also has been very interesting to follow.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1126 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:50 pm

Firing extremely cold convection right now, and maybe the very beginning of some banding

Image
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1127 Postby STRiZZY » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:54 pm

CM2 wrote:
STRiZZY wrote:New convection firing near the center now. Looking a lot better than it did earlier.

You're talking about right ontop of Barbados? Yeah I see that too, I hope the recon goes into it.


Yep, lets hope so.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1128 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:57 pm

Thinking they might find a closed low just west of Barbados. That is if they go that far south :oops:
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1129 Postby ouragans » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:00 am

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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1130 Postby IsabelaWeather » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:06 am

ouragans wrote:Circulation visible on radar

http://www.meteofrance.gp/previsions-me ... r/antilles




Wow, that is a god awful radar... :eek:
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1131 Postby Beef Stew » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:11 am

tiger_deF wrote:Have to say no matter what 92L does I would say it has earned a place in the story of the season just for it's sheer size and the model disagreement/center forecasting


You mean you weren't expecting (what's already the second iteration of) 92L to be a huge-sprawling-wave-with-multiple-LLC's-that-looks-like-it's-lost-from-the-WPAC that books it across the MDR in late July and drives the models, NHC, and even recon crazy?

C'mon, it's 2020! Should've seen it coming months ago... :D
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1132 Postby CM2 » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:12 am

They turn away again
THE AMOUNT OF RAGE I HAVE IS IMMENSE. I SWARE IF THEY AVOID THE AREA AGAIN I WILL POST IN ALL CAPS FOR A SOLID 30 SECONDS.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1133 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:21 am

Still looks like a massive open wave to me.. I really hate tracking these fast moving waves that never close off a circulation.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1134 Postby SoupBone » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:23 am

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Still looks like a massive open wave to me.. I really hate tracking these fast moving waves that never close off a circulation.


It's definitely frustrating, honestly.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1135 Postby CM2 » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:23 am

Honestly this could hit my home of Mobile. The trend is kind of headed that way.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1136 Postby tiger_deF » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:28 am

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Still looks like a massive open wave to me.. I really hate tracking these fast moving waves that never close off a circulation.


I agree, but I think there is no way you can look at a picture 24 hours apart of PTC 9 and say it doesn't look significantly more organized. Has a ways to go, especially if it wants to be anything strong, but it's a start
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1137 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:29 am

tiger_deF wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Still looks like a massive open wave to me.. I really hate tracking these fast moving waves that never close off a circulation.


I agree, but I think there is no way you can look at a picture 24 hours apart of PTC 9 and say it doesn't look significantly more organized. Has a ways to go, especially if it wants to be anything strong, but it's a start


It's definitely trying to get its act together. It'll probably be named by 5pm tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1138 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:35 am

If it keeps barreling west and decides it wants to head for AL for whatever reason, mom has an apartment in Foley so I might just make a quick scramble down there... haven't gotten to 'chase' a storm at the coast since Cindy a few years back heh
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1139 Postby CM2 » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:36 am

EquusStorm wrote:If it keeps barreling west and decides it wants to head for AL for whatever reason, mom has an apartment in Foley so I might just make a quick scramble down there... haven't gotten to 'chase' a storm at the coast since Cindy a few years back heh

Yeah and I got a bunch of people down in Mobile. Hometown after all.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion

#1140 Postby USTropics » Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:39 am

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