chaser1 wrote:BYG Jacob wrote:I know we’re notorious for being “experts” on this site, but it confuses me why people think we know exactly where storms will go, especially in such difficult situations like this. The best weather models in the world don’t know right now, and the NHC itself will admit it can’t 100% predict a storm will go.
It is the root of human nature to look within as well as to cast our eyes upon the environment around us, and seek out answers that mystify us and challenge our knowledge about all that which we see (and that which we can't). We hypothesize, use observations to analyze and disseminate, and challenge ourselves as well as each other to achieve that pinnacle of knowledge. Throughout the process, predictions are made and conclusions are reached regardless of risk of failing or ultimate failure itself. It's about the challenge to ourselves, the insatiable thirst for knowledge, and peer validation of success. So ummm, should we just throw your bet down for somewhere lame.... like landfall in Key West?
The NHC and the models can't figure that out currently, so¯\_(ツ)_/¯