ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Airboy
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4141 Postby Airboy » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:44 pm

It's in no hurry to move, feels like it have slowed down.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4142 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:44 pm

Lots of beautiful outflow boundaries expanding out of the dying convection. Classic

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4143 Postby skillz305 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:44 pm

Looks like isaac is beelining towards bimini...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4144 Postby Syx6sic » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:45 pm

Jr0d wrote:
Weatherboy1 wrote:Vigorous circulation ... but convection decapitated. I had expected some to rebuild once Isaias got back over water but so far? Nope. Will likely spin down gradually unless some storms can rebuild soon


Convection will come back tonight. I would bet on it.


i would almost bet on it also seems to wanna keep fighting and this year way things are going this will just be another thing 2020 throws at us is it january 1st yet i am done with 2020 already lol. patiently waiting here in Virginia beach Virginia to see what this storm is going to do.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4145 Postby DestinHurricane » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:48 pm

Convection starting to show up on IR north of llc. lets see if it holds
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4146 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:50 pm

isaias is reminding us that it's only late july/early august right now.

1 month later on this path and it is likely at least a cat 2/3
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4147 Postby Jr0d » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:52 pm

DestinHurricane wrote:Convection starting to show up on IR north of llc. lets see if it holds


The north also appears to be deepening on radar. Lets see if this is the start of a resurgence.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4148 Postby Syx6sic » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:55 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:isaias is reminding us that it's only late july/early august right now.

1 month later on this path and it is likely at least a cat 2/3


hate to say it but if it was late august early september it could even be a 4 or a 5 with as strong of a fighter this one has shown to be
Last edited by Syx6sic on Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4149 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:55 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
gatorcane wrote:
NDG wrote:Virginia Key wind gusts to 41 mph with that squall that went through.

1 Aug 1:54 pm 79 NE 30G41


Getting very windy here at the coast in Boca Raton. Also incoming feeder band should bring the strongest wind gusts yet.
TS conditions at my place, 40+ and heavy rain


That's some enjoyable window weather watching! Looks like there'll be plenty more where that came from.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4150 Postby Weatherboy1 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:55 pm

Funny. After my last post, FINALLY starting to see a Slightly deeper/more vigorous band wrapping around the NE/N/NW. Will be interesting to see if it builds or not
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4151 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:56 pm

The storm is trucking pretty close to W-NW and if it doesn't turn N-NW soon, it'll definitely make landfall....but what as..a weak TS? Will the crazy uncle model CMC actually be right on this storm?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4152 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:59 pm

Hammy wrote:I wonder if Andros was just enough land to cut off the water source and allow dry air intrusion given how much is to the west and how small the core is.


Funny to think that Isaias pretty much "laughed" at Hispanola, but tiny Andros put a hurting on him lol. 'Course, different dynamics at different times within it's life cycle. I'm sure you're right though and such a shallow storm losing it's energy source had to further play a role in the storms weakening
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4153 Postby Frank P » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:04 pm

Looking at the latest vis sat loops it appears the convection is rebuilding on the upper north to northeast quad of the system, which should start working its way to the core, that LLC is one vigorous circulation, and it continues to stair step WNW to NW... won’t take much for this small system to increase the pucker pressure again along the eastern Fl coastline... nowhere near over in my opinion... tracking since Camille, one thing for sure about these cyclones, they always have a surprise or two before it is all said and done... hard to believe it is only August 1st, seems like late September with all the activity we’ve had so far... gonna be a wild ride when we get to the heart of the season! Take care my Florida friends... it’s a marathon not a spring this year!
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4154 Postby wx98 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:05 pm

The first recon pass supports a 40-45 kt tropical storm. This is expected as it is currently a naked swirl. Let’s see if they can find higher winds in the displaced eastern convection.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4155 Postby Hugo1989 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:07 pm

How many more hours left for Isaias makes some improvements before a potential landfall?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4156 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:09 pm

I'm thinking we can discount that 150kt SFMR wind...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4157 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:10 pm

Hot tower north of the CoC.
However not very close.
Need to see more close in to rebuild an eyewall.
Hot towers are key in keeping this alive.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4158 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:11 pm

drewschmaltz wrote:You are all right :D no reason to play victim or let a few bad apples get me down. Sorry to make it about me anyway! To bring it around back on topic - brutally hot here in Orlando. Afternoon clouds are just starting to build now. Feels like one of the hottest days of the year. I've been here for all my 35 years and it's always a little more pleasant when a storm is near. Cooler temps and "calm before the storm" feeling that I've always attributed to the lowering pressure (loose at best scientific data to back this up). Anyway, all of that is missing today - feels very much like a normal, hot, summer day.


That's a fact! I'm over here in East Longwood. Went outside to do some yard work but then said "nope" LOL. Back inside where my beer can stay cold far longer :wink:
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4159 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:11 pm

chaser1 wrote:
Hammy wrote:I wonder if Andros was just enough land to cut off the water source and allow dry air intrusion given how much is to the west and how small the core is.


Funny to think that Isaias pretty much "laughed" at Hispanola, but tiny Andros put a hurting on him lol. 'Course, different dynamics at different times within it's life cycle. I'm sure you're right though and such a shallow storm losing it's energy source had to further play a role in the storms weakening


I'm thinking Andros is the least of his problems, but it probably didn't help either.

Of course...I don't think he's ugly either. 8-)
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#4160 Postby MarioProtVI » Sat Aug 01, 2020 3:12 pm

wxman57 wrote:I'm thinking we can discount that 150kt SFMR wind...

C5 Isaias with a naked swirl anyone? :lol: :lol:
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