TheStormExpert wrote:It sure doesn’t help that the models did poorly with Isaias. Not to mention it’s been a real pain in the butt to track!
Its kind of amazing how this year is doing the opposite of last year with the models--with a few exceptions (anything that becomes a Cat 5 is automatically an overachiever) everything last year was coming in much weaker than what the models predicted and several systems that should've rightfully formed and had near unanimous model support never did--in fact I remember after Dorian there were something like 3-4 storms predicted almost back to back in the MDR and only Gabrielle's wave actually formed (and struggled all the way)
On a side note it would've been interesting to see how everybody here would've been reacting as far as seasonal forecasts as Debby was sheared into nothing in late August 2000--outside of Alberto, we'd had that, two under-performing tropical storms, three depressions that failed to reach storm intensity, and literally
nothing in July other than dry air--and not so much as a depression formed for the next two weeks until another 18 hour depression formed in the Gulf.
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