ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Where does recon have the LLC? Looks almost inland to me but this storm is a mess so might not be looking in right place lol

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Recon hasn't gotten there yet, last advisory a few minutes ago has it 30 miles east of Jupiter.

[syfr]

And NHC saying they don't expect it to reach hurricane strength again - hope thats true!

Amen. We don't need a strong 'cane in the Carolinas.

It's super hot and humid here as it is!

[TheStormExpert]

Where does recon have the LLC? Looks almost inland to me but this storm is a mess so might not be looking in right place lol

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Recon hasn't gotten there yet, last advisory a few minutes ago has it 30 miles east of Jupiter.

And you wouldn’t even know it’s just offshore with a light breeze and overcast skies.

[gatorcane]

no expected landfall now in FLorida according to the 11AM NHC track

I find it fascinating how these storms often time avoid landfall. It’s really just because the steering sets up just right to allow them to just miss.

[TheStormExpert]

no expected landfall now in FLorida according to the 11AM NHC track

I find it fascinating how these storms often time avoid landfall. It’s really just because the steering sets up just right to allow them to just miss.

We’ve been so fortunate with Matthew, Dorian, and now Isaias its kind of strange. That hurricane repellent must be really working!

[CronkPSU]

no expected landfall now in FLorida according to the 11AM NHC track

I find it fascinating how these storms often time avoid landfall. It’s really just because the steering sets up just right to allow them to just miss.

We’ve been so fortunate with Matthew, Dorian, and now Isaias its kind of strange. That hurricane repellent must be really working!

It is not a coincidence that the East Coast shoreline seems to follow the path of these storms, but it still amazes me each time it takes that last minute turn

[gfsperpendicular]

I'm no expert, but looking at the lower-level clouds on vis imagery, it seems like the LLC has jumped east more into the center of the deep convection. Is it just me?

Also, where's recon?

[Steve]

I'm no expert, but looking at the lower-level clouds on vis imagery, it seems like the LLC has jumped east more into the center of the deep convection. Is it just me?

Also, where's recon?

It's hard to say because it's so occluded - even on high resolution. Radar indications are that it's pretty much right along the coast but without much weather yet (broad lower level center at the moment?). The radar derived model out of the Bahamas has much more noticeable rainfall in East-Central Florida between 1-5pm local time. Not saying it's going to be a total washout for anyone if it's right.

Current radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/s ... t_loop.php

[TJRE]

Radar... on top of any menu option sat
from the Cod Met

link
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=l ... =undefined

you can mix and match ....all options--- all sat views

[storm4u]

I'm no expert, but looking at the lower-level clouds on vis imagery, it seems like the LLC has jumped east more into the center of the deep convection. Is it just me?

Also, where's recon?

Recon on the way

[tarheelprogrammer]

No new convective bursts are occurring inside the storm. So, could the convection collapse again? Hopefully, the LLC is not in the center of all that convection. Die Isaias, die!

[ScottNAtlanta]

I'm no expert, but looking at the lower-level clouds on vis imagery, it seems like the LLC has jumped east more into the center of the deep convection. Is it just me?

Also, where's recon?

Recon is about the fly over Palm Bay

[NCWeatherChic]

And NHC saying they don't expect it to reach hurricane strength again - hope thats true!

Amen. We don't need a strong 'cane in the Carolinas.

It's super hot and humid here as it is!

More like sweltering Besides, I don't want any hurricane much less one I'm struggling to even pronounce it's name thanks to my deep southern roots.

[CronkPSU]

white tops moving back towards the coast...

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

maybe convection filling in on the south side?

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions

[Steve]

And NHC saying they don't expect it to reach hurricane strength again - hope thats true!

Amen. We don't need a strong 'cane in the Carolinas.

It's super hot and humid here as it is!

More like sweltering Besides, I don't want any hurricane much less one I'm struggling to even pronounce it's name thanks to my deep southern roots.

I've been calling it isaiahs in my head. It's iss-ah-ee-ah <-- 4 syllables
https://twitter.com/IreneSans/status/12 ... 7517638656

[ava_ati]

storm2k having problems today...

hunter should be getting near the LLC

[emeraldislenc]

Yes very hot here today

[emeraldislenc]

Yes I think storm 2 k is having problems today

[Steve]

Probably was a server reset or something. It's back.

[ColdMiser123]

Recon finding 60 KT FL wind in the NW quadrant, that's quite a bit higher than what previous recon flights found earlier.

Unflagged 63 KT SFMR as well. Definitely stronger than this time yesterday.