ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

Here is the transition live and in color on IR for as long as it lasts.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

That looks like it is coming ashore a lot further south than predicted. Will it start over land further to the west ?

And warming up significantly?

Looks like it did, but it doesn't appear to be done yet. We all watched it the last few days trying to jumpstart. Sometimes it could get the engine cranking only to see it sputter. Maybe we see one more crank this evening or tonight before it's onshore. I would bet a little less than I would have the last few days, but maybe. NAM and HRRR don't really agree, but it does end up looking cool over Chesapeake Bay on the HRRR (see second link)

IR
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0321&fh=18

[Steve]

For y'all left in the path, all the intensity models keep wind speeds above 40mph for 24 hours, and then it tails off over the next 2-3 days.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stormin ... latest.png

[Vdogg]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1290414907557580801



If this is confirmed, it's a hurricane.

[emeraldislenc]

Pretty amazing stats from the buoy

[WilmingtonSandbar]

Just a little humor before the storm from the Mayor of Oak Island, NC. He has had a lot of things to deal with over the past few years, but can always take the time to laugh a little.

https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1151467381902611

[wx98]

First center pass from recon coming in a few...

[Ubuntwo]

Thread is way too quiet considering a basically-hurricane is about to make landfall on the East Coast.

[tolakram]

saved loop

[jlauderdal]

Thread is way too quiet considering a basically-hurricane is about to make landfall on the East Coast.

Floridians owned this board until yesterday, we are in recovery mode after the storm passed

[St0rmTh0r]

Anyone got any live feeds on the ground any chasers?

[Ubuntwo]

Thread is way too quiet considering a basically-hurricane is about to make landfall on the East Coast.

Floridians owned this board until yesterday, we are in recovery mode after the storm passed

Here in Jupiter, think my mango tree blew a couple leaves into the pool. Still recovering.

[Fishing]

North Myrtle


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[Vdogg]

saved loop

https://i.imgur.com/hC8SsJx.gif

Looks like Oak island is in the cross hairs. Probably a glancing blow with a second full landfall just past Wilmington. With the majority of the eye still over water, that should give it another few hours time worth of strengthening.

[invest man]

Looks to be moving parallel to the coast. Landfall between state line and oak island. Probably 80mph. Just an opinion!

[Fishing]

I’m not sure how to put a video on here. Waves are very cool !


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[Ubuntwo]

69kt SFMR, extrap 985.5!

[Do_For_Love]

69kt SFMR, extrap 985.5!

woah, for real? hurricane at 8P?

[wx98]

70 kt SFMR in the heavy band on the SW side. FL winds nearly match that...

[NDG]

Back to a hurricane.

231130 3230N 07928W 6963 03095 9981 +102 //// 333041 044 056 006 01
231200 3231N 07927W 6969 03082 //// +106 //// 325041 041 058 003 01
231230 3232N 07925W 6969 03074 9931 +115 +111 320040 041 061 004 00
231300 3233N 07923W 6967 03069 9912 +124 +112 321037 042 065 002 00
231330 3234N 07922W 6966 03067 9897 +133 +110 329033 035 065 003 03
231400 3235N 07920W 6963 03066 9887 +139 +111 324029 033 068 001 00
231430 3236N 07918W 6962 03061 9879 +140 +110 329022 024 069 003 00
231500 3237N 07916W 6968 03048 9869 +142 +111 340018 022 057 002 03
231530 3238N 07914W 6968 03041 9866 +139 +111 343014 016 035 001 00
231600 3238N 07912W 6960 03048 9869 +133 +112 323007 011 030 000 00
231630 3239N 07910W 6969 03033 9855 +142 +112 288007 009 028 000 03

[Ubuntwo]

69kt SFMR, extrap 985.5!

woah, for real? hurricane at 8P?

Most likely, especially considering that was only on the west side.