Tropical Wave South-Southwest of Cabo Verde Islands: (Is Invest 95L)

[cycloneye]

This wave is the one to watch down the road as the models ECMWF Operational and Ensembles are somewhat bullish, GFS the same. This wave will emerge Africa on Saturday and let's see how things evolve.





https://en.allmetsat.com/images/meteosa ... _ir108.php

[TheStormExpert]

Looks to already have curvature!

[St0rmTh0r]

This already looks like a depression well inland. All the signs of a monster storm in the making

[TheStormExpert]

This already looks like a depression well inland. All the signs of a monster storm in the making

You’d think, but it doesn’t just work like that fortunately. Currently there’s a suppressed Kelvin Wave in the Atlantic so it’ll likely struggle once it hits water.

[cycloneye]

00z ICON has this on August 14 that is the end of run.

[cycloneye]

00z GFS has a Strong Wave moving thru MDR into the Caribbean.

[TheStormExpert]

Still plenty of SAL and mid-level dry air out there but if it can find a decent pocket of moisture it may be able to develop some. The models have definitely been playing catch-up as of recently.

[ouragans]

Euro ensemble likes this system and sends it to the LA for Aug. 14 or 15 as a TS. Track similar to PTC9/Isaias

[cycloneye]

The 00z ECMWF operational keeps it all the way and ends run over PR as a strong wave.

[cycloneye]

The 12z package of models are vague on this wave with GFS still bringing plenty of rain to PR on the 16th. Even Euro that at least had a good vorticity yesterday now is almost gone although wave can still be seen moving west into the Caribbean.

[Monsoonjr99]

This already looks like a depression well inland. All the signs of a monster storm in the making

You’d think, but it doesn’t just work like that fortunately. Currently there’s a suppressed Kelvin Wave in the Atlantic so it’ll likely struggle once it hits water.

Unfortunately, this could be in the western Atlantic close to home when the enhanced KW arrives and the switch starts to flip. This may be a sleeper wave to watch.

[Hurricaneman]

This already looks like a depression well inland. All the signs of a monster storm in the making

You’d think, but it doesn’t just work like that fortunately. Currently there’s a suppressed Kelvin Wave in the Atlantic so it’ll likely struggle once it hits water.

Unfortunately, this could be in the western Atlantic close to home when the enhanced KW arrives and the switch starts to flip. This may be a sleeper wave to watch.

The GFS has been intent in previous runs to develop this in the western Caribbean from this wave and monsoon trough combo, something to watch around there I would think

[cycloneye]

Wave about to make the splash to the water.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

The 12z package of models are vague on this wave with GFS still bringing plenty of rain to PR on the 16th. Even Euro that at least had a good vorticity yesterday now is almost gone although wave can still be seen moving west into the Caribbean.

https://i.imgur.com/n4fu1p3.gif

Could this be the system that was sniffed out in lower gulf/west carib as a 961mb storm around the 21st??

[toad strangler]

Looks about 13N
Not too high and not too low.

[St0rmTh0r]

Wave about to make the splash to the water.

https://i.imgur.com/FElu6Dh.gif

Looks like Cape Verde hurricane season officially u underway and there's a party behind this one

[TheStormExpert]

Might have a small chance at development.

 https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1291903858738966530

[GCANE]

CMC and GFS are forecasting this to spin up as a relatively deep cold core.

[cycloneye]

Wave has been introduced on the 12z surface analysis. Now let's see what occurs from here.

[AnnularCane]

What's that ahead of it? Looks like a giant outflow boundary surrounding it.