ATL: LAURA - Models

[AutoPenalti]

Seems like the typical windshield wiping effect from the models, seems normal 10+ days out.

What to really watch for is the trend on the 500mb heights. Something I’ve come to notice more instead of actually seeing where the center goes.

[ConvergenceZone]

Icon showing fish it looks like will keep flip flopping

Actually it shows a west turn at the end of the run

ICON clearly missing Florida WAY TO THE EAST on the latest run. Too early to determine though if it will miss the Carolinas though. .... I guess I was wrong about the models , the trend does seem to be more out to sea now. We'll see if all of the remaining models are out to sea by morning. My bad, I thought the ridge above it was predicted be be much strong and extensive, but I guess not, and too many escape routes....

[SouthFLTropics]

Wait for it... I expect a few model shifts to the right, a few to the left, and then a compromise somewhere in the middle. Don’t right this off out to sea just yet.


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[AutoPenalti]

GFS 0z running. 1009 Low looks like.

[floridasun78]

Wait for it... I expect a few model shifts to the right, a few to the left, and then a compromise somewhere in the middle. Don’t right this off out to sea just yet.


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models will change 200 time by saturday

[Cat5James]

00Z GFS showing stronger ridge

[AutoPenalti]

TT went down for me, must have glitched myself out of the server.

Edit: Looks like I’m back online, @ 132 showing a wave crashing the islands. So looks like no development from GFS yet.

[ConvergenceZone]

GFS 0z running. 1009 Low looks like.

Man, I don't even see the storm on the tropical tidbits site looking at GFS at 144 hours, must still be off the side of the map

[Hurricaneman]

GFS 0z running. 1009 Low looks like.

Man, I don't even see the storm on the tropical tidbits site looking at GFS at 144 hours, must still be off the side of the map

Kills it over Hispaniola, plus the GFS doesn’t do much with it at all.

If I’m a betting man I would bet against the GFS

[BobHarlem]

0z GFS is similar to 18z, basically sheared and poof (gone).

[AutoPenalti]

GFS 0z running. 1009 Low looks like.

Man, I don't even see the storm on the tropical tidbits site looking at GFS at 144 hours, must still be off the side of the map

Wow, I’ve never seen such a conservative GFS.

[ConvergenceZone]

0z GFS is similar to 18z, basically sheared and poof (gone).

Oh well, maybe it knows something we don't I guess....

[Hurricaneman]

0z GFS is similar to 18z, basically sheared and poof (gone).

Oh well, maybe it knows something we don't I guess....

Based on how it looks now I would guess the GFS is on drugs

[AutoPenalti]

[AutoPenalti]

I am slightly annoyed that the gif isnt playing.

[lsuhurricane]

I can’t believe I’m saying this, but........the Canadian is the most consistent from its last run so far. Both systems near their prior forecasted spot

[ConvergenceZone]

I am slightly annoyed that the gif isnt playing.

I agree, the GFS is acting as if it's June or July or something! Come on GFS get with the program!!!!

[SouthFLTropics]

The CMC is like Molly Hatchet and is flirting with disaster on the Northern coasts of the Greater Antilles. One thing to note on the CMC though is how stout the ridge is.


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[SouthFLTropics]

CMC is GOM bound by way of Havana.


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[SouthFLTropics]

By 192 hours CMC is in the Central GOM, wayyyyyy left of the 00z ICON and the 12z Euro.


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