ATL: MARCO - Remnants - Discussion

[sphelps8681]

He will probably be out of a job soon...

He states that it will be because of a high pressure that will develop off the east coast of Florida that will push the storms more westward.

[Hammy]

AL, 14, 2020082200, , BEST, 0, 183N, 847W, 35, 1007, TS, 34, NEQ, 80, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 180, 20, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, MARCO, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 027,

According to the best track data, TD14 has developed into TS Marco.

Now the earliest 13th named storm by 11 days. Another 2005 record down the drain.

First time ever we hit M in August.

That's two records down in about 12 hours.

[HouTXmetro]

He will probably be out of a job soon...

He states that it will be because of a high pressure that will develop off the east coast of Florida that will push the storms more westward.

Yes, and some of the latest Euro ensembles are sending Laura towards TX/MX. Reminds me of Ike's trek

[CrazyC83]

Now the earliest 13th named storm by 11 days. Another 2005 record down the drain.

First time ever we hit M in August.

That's two records down in about 12 hours.

Nana has until September 4 and Omar until September 6 to keep the record runs going.

[Steve]

He will probably be out of a job soon...

He states that it will be because of a high pressure that will develop off the east coast of Florida that will push the storms more westward.

S2K has been discussing since last weekend. We knew we'd have a deep trough that would probably split (thought it could leave back a piece of energy) and as it collapsed or lifted out, that was the next influence steering current to grab the stage. Watch your model(s)-of-choice as they evolve at 500mb over the next 4-6 runs and you'll get the idea as to their interpretation of whether or not it will be stronger at time point x.

[Cpv17]

So is this officially Marco now?

[tropicwatch]

NHC went with 40mph movement NNW

[Steve]

So is this officially Marco now?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

It's on the map.

[Javlin]

I think it clips Cuba before it clips the YUC it's just following the path of least resistance ATTM and that is what all TS do.Quite evident on the WV.This storm is so small right now you could be 50/75 miles away and not really think much of it.I remember Nate in 2017(?) it was not 75mph at the surface by no means and tiny.

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/l ... nhanced+24

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[tropicwatch]

HH went through center again. Pressure holding steady for now.

[SoupBone]

He will probably be out of a job soon...

He states that it will be because of a high pressure that will develop off the east coast of Florida that will push the storms more westward.

Yes, and some of the latest Euro ensembles are sending Laura towards TX/MX. Reminds me of Ike's trek

Tex/Mex would not even be close to Ike though. That type of track would also mean a huge amount of time over the center of the GoM.

[tailgater]

HH went through center again. Pressure holding steady for now.

Finding winds up to 57mph

[Hurricane Mike]

Little Marco is in a pretty great upper level spot right now. Let's see if it flares up overnight.

[wx98]

HH went through center again. Pressure holding steady for now.

Finding winds up to 57mph

Those winds are much higher than FL at that point though.

[HouTXmetro]

He states that it will be because of a high pressure that will develop off the east coast of Florida that will push the storms more westward.

Yes, and some of the latest Euro ensembles are sending Laura towards TX/MX. Reminds me of Ike's trek

Tex/Mex would not even be close to Ike though. That type of track would also mean a huge amount of time over the center of the GoM.

Yes, At one point the NHC Had Ike threatening the TX/MX border after interacting with Cuba. Laura will be in a similar scenario/position/model spread.

[tailgater]

HH went through center again. Pressure holding steady for now.

Finding winds up to 57mph

Those winds are much higher than FL at that point though.

Yeah but very close to the center, these little storms can spin up rather quickly as you know. IR sat

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Convection taking off, getting its act together this evening.

[Aric Dunn]

geez.. looks like marco might go over the western tip of cuba at this rate.

[HurricaneBrain]

In all seriousness, I don’t even think Marco is going to make a landfall on the peninsula...

geez.. looks like marco might go over the western tip of cuba at this rate.

[TallahasseeMan]

As recently as 12Z today every model guidance had future Marco traversing over Cozumel. Just goes to show how quickly things can change with poorly defined storms.


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