ATL: LAURA - Models

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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2221 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:14 pm

18z HWRF 54:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2222 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:15 pm

18Z HWRF so far.

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2223 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:17 pm

This is nearly identical to the 12Z Euro so far.
Last edited by tolakram on Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: 12Z, not 18Z
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2224 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:18 pm

tolakram wrote:This is nearly identical to the 18Z Euro so far.

18z Euro is out already for you?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2225 Postby Nederlander » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:21 pm

Edited for wrong image
Last edited by Nederlander on Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2226 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:23 pm

18z HWRF hour 69:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2227 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:24 pm

Nederlander wrote:https://i.ibb.co/1GjRZHy/550-B20-B6-D713-4515-8-E1-D-AD336846184-D.png

18z Euro Ensembles - Shift west to TX

I think that's the 21st run.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2228 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:26 pm

18z HWRF hour 75:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2229 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:26 pm

More land interaction on this run of the HWRF, resulting in a weaker storm in the Gulf (still a violent hurricane though).
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2230 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:28 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
tolakram wrote:This is nearly identical to the 18Z Euro so far.

18z Euro is out already for you?


Woops, 12Z. I had 18 on the brain for some reason :D
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2231 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:29 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:More land interaction on this run of the HWRF, resulting in a weaker storm in the Gulf (still a violent hurricane though).

Also still quite stronger than the 18z GFS through 72 hours.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2232 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:31 pm

18z HWRF hour 81 + trend:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2233 Postby Beef Stew » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:33 pm

Still bombing out at hour 81, with a slight jog to the WSW relative to the 12z run it seems. May end up around the LA/TX border...
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2234 Postby gqhebert » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:38 pm

HMON 130kt cane heading towards Galveston
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2235 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:38 pm

18z HWRF hour 87:
Image

Unfortunately, more SW means more time over water... But Laura looks like bad news no matter what.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2236 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:40 pm

gqhebert wrote:HMON 130kt cane heading towards Galveston

18z HMON hour 105:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2237 Postby BigB0882 » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:40 pm

gqhebert wrote:HMON 130kt cane heading towards Galveston


That’s a big east shift for the HMON, right? Wasn’t it near the Tex/Mex border last run?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2238 Postby SoupBone » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:41 pm

The HMON showed this last night, very similar.

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2239 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:41 pm

18z HMON hour 111:
Image

Bruh..
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Models

#2240 Postby gqhebert » Sat Aug 22, 2020 6:42 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
gqhebert wrote:HMON 130kt cane heading towards Galveston


That’s a big east shift for the HMON, right? Wasn’t it near the Tex/Mex border last run?



yep
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