cheezyWXguy wrote:Not that it needs to be mentioned, but for entertainment purposes, the NAM 3k brings Laura down to 885mb in the gulf. Please do not take this seriously.
I'll start this off by saying I don't in any way think that pressure is going to happen
It always seems like it goes with the absolute maximum that's physically possible with the conditions (similar to the maximum heat potential map) but I will say it's a good predictor of trends and atmospheric conditions--when it explodes a hurricane like that it does tend to precede rapid intensification. It did it with Michael, Harvey, and Hanna and I don't recall it happening on a consistent basis (outside of sporadic runs) with storms that didn't eventually strengthen significantly, especially once you get closer to the time frame.