ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5281 Postby USTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:06 am

First visible image this morning (brightened up the layer some with PS):
Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5282 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:06 am

eastcoastFL wrote:I slept for a few hours and this thing is a beast already

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif?hash=4772


Man those last few images on that loop are especially terrifying. Getting the look of a monster cat 4/5.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5283 Postby FixySLN » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:07 am

BRweather wrote:Looks like we are seeing a north wobble right now.


Beat me to it. Each one of these wobbles are gonna count.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5284 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:07 am

ADT:
2020AUG26 113000 5.3 958.0 97.2 5.3 5.7 6.9 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF -15.66 -74.81 EYE 14 IR 10.6 26.32 91.24 COMBO GOES16 35.6
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5285 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:07 am

Ugh I feel absolutely sick. I have advised my family member in the Beaumont area to leave and she has done so. Good luck to all in this monster's path.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5286 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:07 am

Reading from a buoy near by


Conditions at 42395 as of
(6:20 am CDT)
1120 GMT on 08/26/2020:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone:
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): SSE ( 160 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 66.0 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 93.2 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 24.6 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 13 sec
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 28.70 in
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 85.1 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed, Wind Gust and Atmospheric Pressure Combined plot of Wind Speed, Gust, and Air Pressure

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42395
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5287 Postby wx98 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:08 am

Hammy wrote:
wx98 wrote:Pressure is tanking:
7:00 AM CDT Wed Aug 26
Location: 26.4°N 91.4°W
Moving: NW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 963 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph


That's 3+ mb drop per hour :eek:

Down 15 in 6 hours. This is getting intense fast.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5288 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:08 am

The dreaded and deadly pink donut has arrived.

 https://twitter.com/MikeFischerWx/status/1298585668596178945


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5289 Postby tiger_deF » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:10 am

How many more hours does she have before landfall?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5290 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:10 am

tiger_deF wrote:How many more hours does she have before landfall?

24.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5291 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:11 am

HurricaneEnzo wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:I slept for a few hours and this thing is a beast already

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif?hash=4772


Man those last few images on that loop are especially terrifying. Getting the look of a monster cat 4/5.


It really is man. This is unreal
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5292 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:12 am

82kts surface estimate in the SW quad with 91kts FL, so should see 100kts comfortably in the NE quadrant.
Last edited by KWT on Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5293 Postby USTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:13 am

Pressure down another MB:
Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5294 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:13 am

Looks are reminiscent of Lorenzo.

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5295 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:13 am

tiger_deF wrote:How many more hours does she have before landfall?


18 she’s about 280 miles from land moving 15 mph
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5296 Postby drezee » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:14 am

FixySLN wrote:
BRweather wrote:Looks like we are seeing a north wobble right now.


Beat me to it. Each one of these wobbles are gonna count.

 https://twitter.com/andretrotter/status/1298594498969088007


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5297 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:14 am

If this rate of deepening continues in the next 12 hours we can easily have a hurricane with pressure in the 920s. By that time, the eye would be around 6 hours from a landfall. Forbid any shocking last-minute surprise because this could easily be a Cat5 right before landfall IMO, and maybe not just a 140kt Cat5. I mean, just look at that development.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5298 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:15 am

That eye is really clearing out

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5299 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:15 am

eastcoastFL wrote:
tiger_deF wrote:How many more hours does she have before landfall?


18 she’s about 280 miles from land moving 15 mph

The 06z models don't landfall this until 21-25 hours from now.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5300 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:16 am

Anyone think the city of Lake Charles could be in serious trouble here? Although it is situated quite a ways off the coast, if the center comes in right along the TX/LA line the surge should push a lot of water into Calcasieu Lake and up into the Calcasieu River.
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