ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

20 pages since after 1am.

How’s the weather In NOLA this morning?

Windy and overcast. Lots of low clouds streaming in from the ESE. Probably 15-20 gusting to 25. I have to go to work but this is one morning I didn’t want to skip all that went down and got reported on overnight. The thread jumped 3-4 pages while I was catching up so I was excited to dig through it and obviously now I know why. Looks extreme from about Abbeville over to Beaumont with points in between successively worse. We don’t often see majors much less majors landfalling so I feel like this is an important day to gain insight and information and answer a couple of what if’s and could that happens.

Yah I know that ominous look as the storm comes in at a distance. You guys should be ok but you’ll probably see some squally weather. Surge maybe a small issue over there. Have you gone to see how high the water is this morning?

[tomatkins]

24 hour loop of Laura from TS to Cat 3.

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=48&ts=3&st=0&et=0&speed=110&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=full_disk&p%5B0%5D=band_13&x=8022&y=5801

Offtopic but anyone know how to SAVE a loop like that to a file?

I'm not sure about that site - but this site - https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/m ... &length=30

Has a download button

[Ellsey]

Lots of pink in that NE Quad this morning. If it makes landfall as predicted what area is in the NE quad? What cities?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2213A-LAURA.png

Lots of small towns like Vinton, Vidor, DeQuincy, then Sulphur, Carlyss, Lake Charles, Hackberry, Cameron.

I pray they get out of some of those places. It will not be pretty

I'm originally from Vidor and I know a lot of people who said they would not be leaving. I don't know if they have changed their minds now or not, but it's kind of late also so...I have concerns.

[artist]

Lots of small towns like Vinton, Vidor, DeQuincy, then Sulphur, Carlyss, Lake Charles, Hackberry, Cameron.

I pray they get out of some of those places. It will not be pretty

I'm originally from Vidor and I know a lot of people who said they would not be leaving. I don't know if they have changed their minds now or not, but it's kind of late also so...I have concerns.

I hate to hear that. The flooding over there could be devastating again, not to mention the wind.

[HurricaneEdouard]

957mb extrap is 4mb lower than last AF extrap, 6mb lower than dropsonde. SFMR up to 101 knots. For the second hour straight, an approx 6 mb drop; if this rate continues, it'll be at 939mb by next advisory. Rapid intensification may be becoming explosive deepening.

[cfisher]

Storm is wobbling west. Definitely something to keep an eye on

[Fancy1001]

Looks like the eyes getting covered up again. Would that imply that it's trying to shrink its eye and become stronger, or is encountering shear and weakening.

[cfisher]

Looks like the eyes getting covered up again. Would that imply that it's trying to shrink its eye and become stronger, or is encountering shear and weakening.

Those are mesovorticies rotating around the center

[NotoSans]

On EIR eye has become less well-defined and central convection has somehow warmed, but it’s a typical intensification pattern observed in WPAC storms with larger eyes. I expect to see another round of convective burst soon and eye will start to clear out again after that burst.

[GCANE]

Its balls to the wall now.
Now entraining the high CAPE pool off the coast.
Picking up high Theta-E from the W-GoM high OHC pool.

[Fancy1001]

Looks like the eyes getting covered up again. Would that imply that it's trying to shrink its eye and become stronger, or is encountering shear and weakening.

Those are mesovorticies rotating around the center

Ok.

[Steve]

How’s the weather In NOLA this morning?

Windy and overcast. Lots of low clouds streaming in from the ESE. Probably 15-20 gusting to 25. I have to go to work but this is one morning I didn’t want to skip all that went down and got reported on overnight. The thread jumped 3-4 pages while I was catching up so I was excited to dig through it and obviously now I know why. Looks extreme from about Abbeville over to Beaumont with points in between successively worse. We don’t often see majors much less majors landfalling so I feel like this is an important day to gain insight and information and answer a couple of what if’s and could that happens.

Yah I know that ominous look as the storm comes in at a distance. You guys should be ok but you’ll probably see some squally weather. Surge maybe a small issue over there. Have you gone to see how high the water is this morning?

No. I might go out by the lake later today, but I just got up, went and sat on the porch and smoked like 5 cigarettes and an iced coffee catching up. I also know that 200 miles in global terms is nothing and am very grateful I’m on the eastern fringes.

[eastcoastFL]

Lots of small towns like Vinton, Vidor, DeQuincy, then Sulphur, Carlyss, Lake Charles, Hackberry, Cameron.

I pray they get out of some of those places. It will not be pretty

I'm originally from Vidor and I know a lot of people who said they would not be leaving. I don't know if they have changed their minds now or not, but it's kind of late also so...I have concerns.

I really don’t understand the stubborn folks that won’t leave. It’s usually older folks though so at least it’s not children most of the time.

[NDG]

Pressure continues to drop, at around 2-4 mb/hour.

Extrap. Sfc. Press: 957.5 mb (28.28 inHg)

[GrayLancer18]

Judging from the IR presentation, it seems she's losing steam. There are warmer temperature colors appearing on the eyewall.

[FLpanhandle91]

Outside of recon center fixes, Laura's eye is now in range of Lake Charles' long range radar. Much easier to get a read of forward movement that way than looking at vis or IR.

[Evil Jeremy]

I’m praying for everyone in Laura’s path... Really bad deja vu waking up to a Hurricane RI-ing in the Gulf.

[supercane4867]

Judging from the IR presentation, it seems she's losing steam. There are warmer temperature colors appearing on the eyewall.

This is typical for a system in the process of clearing out its eye.

[Kazmit]

Judging from the IR presentation, it seems she's losing steam. There are warmer temperature colors appearing on the eyewall.

Nope, pressure is still dropping quickly.

[FLpanhandle91]

Judging from the IR presentation, it seems she's losing steam. There are warmer temperature colors appearing on the eyewall.

This is painfully inaccurate. Recon proves the opposite and so does IR.