ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Convection firing around the eyewall and the eye is warming
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
NDG wrote:Nawtamet wrote:Judging from the IR presentation, it seems she's losing steam. There are warmer temperature colors appearing on the eyewall.
Nonsense, its pressure continues to drop steadily.
All that appears to be happening is that as the sun rises cloud temperature warm up, pretty typical after D-Max. As I was just said it's got great symmetry right now and the eyes curly establishing itself given the rapid drop in pressure seen in the last 3 hours
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
shiny-pebble wrote:Wasn't it elliptical/oval shaped before? Is it easier for it to intensify with a circular eye?GCANE wrote:VDM
960mb
Closed circular eye 28 nm wide
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Yes, Yes
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
The last three center sondes from AF Hurricane Hunters are:
0959Z: 969mb/3kt
1103Z: 964mb/8kt
1225Z: 960mb/7kt
Which yields a pressure drop of 9-10mb over 2.5 hours, or 3.6-4mb per hour.
0959Z: 969mb/3kt
1103Z: 964mb/8kt
1225Z: 960mb/7kt
Which yields a pressure drop of 9-10mb over 2.5 hours, or 3.6-4mb per hour.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
6 new pages in this thread within the hour. That's when you know something big is happening.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Does anyone have an ADT estimate? CMISS website is down still
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
What are the chances this effects Houston still? Sitting at work and my nerves are pretty high
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
NotoSans wrote:The last three center sondes from AF Hurricane Hunters are:
0959Z: 969mb/3kt
1103Z: 964mb/8kt
1225Z: 960mb/7kt
Which yields a pressure drop of 9-10mb over 2.5 hours, or 3.6-4mb per hour.
If that rate continues, Laura will near 915 mbar in 12 hours

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
No doubt winds are playing a rapid catch up to these pressure drops and it's very close to a buzz saw appearance. Impressive development over night.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
cfisher wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:cfisher wrote:Laura is in a league of her own with this rate of deepening and the size of the eye
You ain’t kidding. The speed at which she’s developed is simply amazing.
Also looks pretty annular. If it was a buzzsaw shape before, there's definitely way more symmetry now.
This would be an amazing storm to track in the open Ocean. Who knows what could happen if land weren’t ahead.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
We should have known this would inevitably happen when it managed to strengthen on top of Hispaniola.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
LSU Saint wrote:What are the chances this effects Houston still? Sitting at work and my nerves are pretty high
I’ll say this, the odds are shrinking in your favor at the moment. But it’s not over yet.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
cfisher wrote:We should have known this would inevitably happen when it managed to strengthen on top of Hispaniola.
And Cuba and PR. This Laura is a force. The models that had her opening into a wave need to be tweaked a bit.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
There might be just a hair of westerly shear impacting the center at upper levels.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
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