ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Highteeld
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5781 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:27 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Most importantly, NO double wind maxima in the northeastern eyewall.

This.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5782 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:28 pm

Cunxi Huang wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:NWS Lake Charles office location has been evacuated. All operations now handled by NWS Brownsville.


Source?


 https://twitter.com/RobMarciano/status/1298667762693308421


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5783 Postby wkwally » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:28 pm

Highteeld wrote:I feel like I'm playing a game of musical chairs with different with satellite viewers that is causing them to crash...

was wondering why I was haveing a problem there
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5784 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:28 pm

Cunxi Huang wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:NWS Lake Charles office location has been evacuated. All operations now handled by NWS Brownsville.


Source?

Someone posted tweet links in the previous page.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5785 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:28 pm

I agree with 120 kt with this initial data but later obs may find it stronger.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5786 Postby wkwally » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:29 pm

tolakram wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:NWS Lake Charles office location has been evacuated. All operations now handled by NWS Brownsville.


Source?


https://twitter.com/RobMarciano/status/1298667762693308421

Good crew down there in Brownsville
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5787 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:30 pm

It's like Michael and Katrina had a baby
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5788 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:30 pm

Dropsonde data has consistently shown higher wind values than SFMR. Anxiously awaiting data from that drop.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5789 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:30 pm

supercane4867 wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:NWS Lake Charles office location has been evacuated. All operations now handled by NWS Brownsville.


Source?

Someone posted tweet links in the previous page.

I have a friend who works there, they have been evacuated and being backed up by the Brownsville office
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5790 Postby syfr » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:31 pm

galaxy401 wrote:Ugh I REALLY REALLY hope that people in Lake Charles are already out of there. That surge is going to be catastrophic...


Lots of traffic still showing in Lake Charles via the KPLC webcams.

I'd be gone!
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5791 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:31 pm

Without signs of an eyewall cycle soon we're dangerously close to Michael territory going through the evening, just not good at all
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5792 Postby Kazmit » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:31 pm

Solid cat 4. When’s the “shear” supposed to set in?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5793 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:32 pm


the structure of that building will be tested....i wouldn't stay there either
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5794 Postby sponger » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:32 pm

I can only imagine the ride recon is getting trying to avoid those numerous mesovorticies.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5795 Postby wx98 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:33 pm

EquusStorm wrote:Without signs of an eyewall cycle soon we're dangerously close to Michael territory going through the evening, just not good at all

Six more hours at this rate and it will exceed Michael easily.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5796 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:33 pm

950.0 mb extrapolated, 121 kt SFMR
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5797 Postby bigGbear » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:33 pm

Is anyone looking at the water vapor loop? What is going on the northwest side of the eye?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5798 Postby NotoSans » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:33 pm

SFMR winds of 121kt support an initial intensity of 120kt. Extrap pressure at 950mb.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5799 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:34 pm

Pressure ~950 mb or at least in the low 950s right now.

172400 2716N 09220W 6970 02731 9500 +177 +100 109017 022 026 001 00
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5800 Postby Shell Mound » Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:34 pm

You know the situation is serious when even the NAM’s solutions actually begin to look somewhat plausible.

 https://twitter.com/T2mike/status/1298674040819847168


Last edited by Shell Mound on Wed Aug 26, 2020 12:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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