ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Highteeld]

2020AUG26 185020 6.5 929.2 127.0 6.3 6.3 6.3 NO LIMIT ON FLG OFF OFF 19.22 -66.16 EYE 26 IR 9.9 27.57 92.55 ARCHER GOES16 37.4

[Highteeld]

Would probably go with 127 knots right now. Clear T 6.0 based off Dvorak, with .5T added for radar-based BF for a 6.5

[galaxy401]

Do we have any users on this forum that live in Lake Charles or that general region? Hope they evacuated.

[Stangfriik]

 https://twitter.com/GregNordstrom/status/1298701440286941187

[wkwally]

Real worried for anyone in the path of this monster. I hope that there are not to many hold outs trying to ride this thing out. Loss of property is not a good thing but it can be replaced, a life however cannot.

[curtadams]

An ERC - which is unlikely anyway, as several have pointed out - would not help much. Laura is going to hit a relatively lightly inhabited, but very flat, section of coast. This storm is first and foremost going to be a surge danger, with high surge going many miles inland, worsened by flooding rains. An ERC reduces the wind, but barely affects the surge. The danger will be surge/floods in areas or to elevations that have never had trouble in recorded history - kind of like Harvey.

[jlauderdal]

May very well be the storm of the 2020 season still in only August.

Scary thought... plenty of time for something else to surpass it.

Indeed. We thought Harvey might have been the storm of the 2017 season, until two weeks later.

The central and western Atlantic can support a 5 for another few weeks

[radiation0512]

Do we have any users on this forum that live in Lake Charles or that general region? Hope they evacuated.

I have family in Hackberry. They have been gone since Monday afternoon. They were there for Rita. A few lost everything and some lost a little. A lot of people rebuilt homes there on stilts but I'm not sure they would be high enough for this storm.

[869MB]

Just for documentation purposes, I wanted to capture this SPC Mesoscale image we rarely ever will see on their website...

[Highteeld]

Estimating FL winds around 142 knots based off the Eye/CDO delta right now

[wkwally]

https://twitter.com/GregNordstrom/status/1298701440286941187?s=19

Stay safe

[wx98]

Recon data/satellite and infrared show that a right turn more toward the NW or NNW has occurred. Maybe a wobble, maybe a heading change...

[Stangfriik]

https://twitter.com/GregNordstrom/status/1298701440286941187?s=19

Stay safe

Oh no, it's not me lol. Not that crazy lol

[supercane4867]

Eye appearance is becoming more circular. Signs of a maturing hurricane.

[Cyclenall]

This went over Hispaniola lengthwise and then clipped eastern Cuba...

Not the Great Galveston hurricane of 1900, Georges, or Ike has able to both traverse the length of the TC killer island and then go on to attain this level of intensity approaching the Gulf coast. No documented cases of what Laura has been able to do. Ironically if Laura had a organized core going over those mountains it wouldn't have become a historic hurricane.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

[youtube]https://youtu.be/pi-RqfhYCaU[/youtube]

Some frightening news here from the NHC and local officials.

[NDG]

Just incredible beauty but so destructive.

[northjaxpro]

The intense ring of convection around the eye is not yet 100% complete. It looks frightèning .and once the ring does completely fill in, we will have a Cat 5.

[Rail Dawg]

In Lake Charles. Parking garage 40’ up.

Looks like I might catch the eye. Looks like other chasers are starting to show up!

Chuck

[wx98]

Another center and NE eyewall pass coming in 30-40 minutes.