ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Frank P]

In Laura it appears we have another Michael that will tear up the NW gulf coat. A powerful CAT 4 storm strengthening all the way up to landfall. NHC at their 5 pm advisory now makes Laura a CAT 5 storm at landfall with 150 mph winds near 2 am this morning. I see no reason to doubt their predictions. My prayers to all in the path and am hoping those that decided to stay behind are above the surge level in sturdy dwellings. I'm fearful many will decide to ride out the storm with the COVID pandemic. This storm appears to be another Michael or Katrina. In addition to the coastal surge impact, their will be hurricane force wind gusts well inland probably leading to massive power outages across a wide swath of east Tx/West La and even southern Arkansas.

They don’t actually explicitly call for a Cat 5 in the advisory.

and a CAT 5 is 157 mph to be official, not that it makes a difference at this point

[chaser1]

Chasing in Cameron is a death sentence.

There is nowhere to hide out here when chasing except where I am at right now.

If you are chasing and read this please come now to Lakeshore and Broad in Lake Charles. Now. You WILL have exit paths blocked by surge very soon.

Chuck

Good move by you Chuck. Save a life, then get some great video's. FYI, hope you brought a hell of a lot of slim-jims, Little Debbies & beer. You may suddenly discover 125 new friends that you never knew you had

[HurricaneEdouard]

I'm in a hurricane-related Facebook group where hundreds of people in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles and Orange are planning to ride out the hurricane. I managed to convince one lady to evacuate (which I'm still feeling pretty good about), but it's incredible how many people are planning to stay and boasting about it.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Fresh recon about to make its first pass.

[Jr0d]

Amazing presentation at the moment, though I do note that the southern quadrant is just starting to thin a little in terms of the larger precip shield and eyewall. Probably a hint of the shear, especially as some mets have said the southern side is the area that will be first impacte as it becomes a little more lopsided again (we saw that with Katrina and Rita as well in 05).

Probably a fair chance recon finds close to cat-5 when its next in that NE quadrant...

This might be because the radar returns from that side are being blocked by the heavy precipitation. Not seeing any degredation on the satellite.

[northjaxpro]

In Laura it appears we have another Michael that will tear up the NW gulf coat. A powerful CAT 4 storm strengthening all the way up to landfall. NHC at their 5 pm advisory now makes Laura a CAT 5 storm at landfall with 150 mph winds near 2 am this morning. I see no reason to doubt their predictions. My prayers to all in the path and am hoping those that decided to stay behind are above the surge level in sturdy dwellings. I'm fearful many will decide to ride out the storm with the COVID pandemic. This storm appears to be another Michael or Katrina. In addition to the coastal surge impact, their will be hurricane force wind gusts well inland probably leading to massive power outages across a wide swath of east Tx/West La and even southern Arkansas.

They don’t actually explicitly call for a Cat 5 in the advisory.

and a CAT 5 is 157 mph to be official, not that it makes a difference at this point

Exactly. The effects of a strong Cat 4 or low end Cat 5 are no different, very much the same.

[MrStormX]

Be on the lookout for an EWRC within the next couple hours, especially as frictional effects begin to alter the structure of this storm. We saw with Harvey and Michael, that those last 2-3 hours before landfall can be explosive given the right conditions.

[emings]

I'm in a hurricane-related Facebook group where hundreds of people in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles and Orange are planning to ride out the hurricane. I managed to convince one lady to evacuate (which I'm still feeling pretty good about), but it's incredible how many people are planning to stay and boasting about it.

Made mention of this earlier many are riding it out

[PavelGaborik10]

Anticipating winds in the 145-150 range. I believe she's peaking as I type this.

[AdamFirst]

For those asking I just post here. No twitter or anything. Lots of chasers will have the awesome 4K videos. I just am here to watch and learn.

Chuck

Please stay safe.

[TallyTracker]

Power may be out for a month or two after this. Anyone who stays better be largely self sufficient for a long time.

Power was restored in three weeks after Katrina....water and gas in December because all the trees that were uprooted destroyed the water and gas lines......MGC

The in-town areas around Panama City took a month for power to be restored. Many rural locations took close to Christmas before power was restored. Cable and internet services from Comcast took close to 4 months to be restored.

[johngaltfla]

Good luck to all of you in its path. This one's going to hit hard all the way to Little Rock so I hope people in Shreveport and other communities in its path are preparing.

[JtSmarts]

 https://twitter.com/watkinstrack/status/1298748107333791744

[chaser1]

Chasing in Cameron is a death sentence.

There is nowhere to hide out here when chasing except where I am at right now.

If you are chasing and read this please come now to Lakeshore and Broad in Lake Charles. Now. You WILL have exit paths blocked by surge very soon.

Chuck

Good move by you Chuck. Save a life, then get some great video's. FYI, hope you brought a hell of a lot of slim-jims, Little Debbies & beer. You may suddenly discover 125 new friends that you never knew you had

Wait, one more thing. When Aric gets there tell him he owes me $1.00

[GCANE]

Eye Drop
947mb
27.6N 92.7W
RH = 56%

Relative Humidity up from 46% last drop.
Watching if the trend continues.

What would that mean if the trend continues?

Possible start of EWRC

[cheezyWXguy]

Anyone have a good livestream they can link me? I haven't really found anything.

[xironman]

Almost Izzy perfect on satellite, and that is hard to do.

[supercane4867]

Cooling continues to take place on portions of the CDO

[TheDreamTraveler]

Chasing in Cameron is a death sentence.

There is nowhere to hide out here when chasing except where I am at right now.

If you are chasing and read this please come now to Lakeshore and Broad in Lake Charles. Now. You WILL have exit paths blocked by surge very soon.

Chuck

Good move by you Chuck. Save a life, then get some great video's. FYI, hope you brought a hell of a lot of slim-jims, Little Debbies & beer. You may suddenly discover 125 new friends that you never knew you had

Wait, one more thing. When Aric gets there tell him he owes me $1.00

Speaking of Aric is he streaming Lauren? I know he's done streams before but I forget what his handle is on those sites like periscope etc

[wkwally]

I'm in a hurricane-related Facebook group where hundreds of people in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles and Orange are planning to ride out the hurricane. I managed to convince one lady to evacuate (which I'm still feeling pretty good about), but it's incredible how many people are planning to stay and boasting about it.

This is not the storm to ride out, unless you have a death wish.