ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

I'm in a hurricane-related Facebook group where hundreds of people in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles and Orange are planning to ride out the hurricane. I managed to convince one lady to evacuate (which I'm still feeling pretty good about), but it's incredible how many people are planning to stay and boasting about it.

I read what a poster stated a short time ago that many people may have decided to ride out the storm due to COVID-19 and not going to shelters in.place. It would be an enomorous catastrophe if people decided to do this instead of evacuating. This monster storm is just something you don't ride out if you value life!!

[al78]

I'm in a hurricane-related Facebook group where hundreds of people in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles and Orange are planning to ride out the hurricane. I managed to convince one lady to evacuate (which I'm still feeling pretty good about), but it's incredible how many people are planning to stay and boasting about it.

When was the last time an upper end cat 4 hit that area with a double figure storm surge? If it was a long time ago, complacency may be due to complete ignorance of what a hurricane of Laura's power is capable of doing. Having said that, you'd have thought they'd have seen what Michael did to Nexico Beach.

[galaxy401]

Probably just a wobble but it looks like it's going due north in that loop. What a monster.

[hipshot]

:larrow:

I was reading in here that there are chasers in Cameron, LA. just pulled it up on Google and between Cameron and Holley beach both look like a death trap.

Yeah, really worried about those chasers out there.

If they are in that area, they must be amateurs because from what I've heard from experienced chasers, they don't want any part of that
area, no way out...a real death trap.

[Sanibel]

Anticipating winds in the 145-150 range. I believe she's peaking as I type this.

Just came in to post the same thing...150mph max out...

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

[Cunxi Huang]

No clear EWRC shown on radar. Btw Laura's NE quadrant looks VIOLENT, can't wait the next recon pass.

[al78]

I'm in a hurricane-related Facebook group where hundreds of people in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles and Orange are planning to ride out the hurricane. I managed to convince one lady to evacuate (which I'm still feeling pretty good about), but it's incredible how many people are planning to stay and boasting about it.

I read what a poster stated a short time ago that many people may have decided to ride out the storm due to COVID-19 and not going to shelters in.place. It would be an enomorous catastrophe if people decided to do this instead of evacuating. This monster stitm is just something you don't ride out if you value life!!

It highlights how dreadful people are at risk assessment.

[jdjaguar]

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/746426734232207442/748305214720835655/74121378_1.gif

Hexagonal.
Wow.

[sikkar]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KP1Ee4F7q-o

Already flooding in some parts.

[EquusStorm]

Between a chance of catching covid and certain violent drowning death, I think I'd take my chances at the shelter

[Nuno]

No clear EWRC shown on radar. Btw Laura's NE quadrant looks VIOLENT, can't wait the next recon pass.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EgYVjB7U0Ac8lN3?format=png&name=large

Reminding me of Harvey's eye...

[cfisher]

I think they'll find 160+ winds. Eye has tightened significantly last few frames

[Kingarabian]

Tropical storm winds look like they will extend to Lafayette. The upper level winds might push strong effects from this system well in land.

[Ken711]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1298727567302823943

[aspen]

Cooling continues to take place on portions of the CDO

https://i.imgur.com/Zl53b6f.gif

What an evil looking storm. This is probably near or above 130 kt by now.

[chaser1]

Eye Drop
947mb
27.6N 92.7W
RH = 56%

Relative Humidity up from 46% last drop.
Watching if the trend continues.

What would that mean if the trend continues?

Possible start of EWRC

I have a hard time imagining a nearly 25 mile wide eye to undergo an EWRC. I'd have to think we'd first see greater eye contraction first, and then start an EWRC. Given the small window of time prior to landfall, the little remaining time would seem to only be enough for further contraction to occur. Course' that would nearly assure the storm shedding another 10 mb or so. NO BUENO

[SootyTern]

https://i.imgur.com/3EdEJoG.jpg
Very low dense area along the coast, but many folks going to lose a lot of property and hopefully not their lives.

And I'm probably going to lose a lot of my crabbing grounds.

You might have all new crabbing grounds.

north of I-10

[Highteeld]

2020AUG26 215020 6.5 929.1 127.0 6.4 6.5 6.5 NO LIMIT ON OFF OFF OFF 20.47 -68.06 EYE 30 IR 9.9 28.06 92.87 ARCHER GOES16 38.1

[cheezyWXguy]

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1298727567302823943?s=20

It looks a lot like Michael there, in the way that the deepest convection is situated. I would not be surprised to watch it strengthen in the same manner in response to shear.

[Buck]

No clear EWRC shown on radar. Btw Laura's NE quadrant looks VIOLENT, can't wait the next recon pass.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EgYVjB7U0Ac8lN3?format=png&name=large

Doesn’t matter how far a storm might be from an EWRC, there will still be myriad posts saying that one is about to begin at any given time.