ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Beef Stew]

https://i.ibb.co/WcCCKRk/recon-NOAA2-2413-A-LAURA-dropsonde3-20200826-2301.png

Can you add a comment in such posts for the noobs like me. Thanks.

I meant to, but guess I just got a bit carried away. Basically, Cat 5 winds are mixing down through the core very efficiently, and at this rate it may only be a matter of time until they reach the surface.

[EquusStorm]

[KWT]

https://i.ibb.co/WcCCKRk/recon-NOAA2-2413-A-LAURA-dropsonde3-20200826-2301.png

Can you add a comment in such posts for the noobs like me. Thanks.

I meant to, but guess I just got a bit carried away. Basically, Cat 5 winds are mixing down through the core very efficiently, and at this rate it may only be a matter of time until they reach the surface.

Those 140kts winds have come down in the last couple of hours and now are literally just above the surface. As I said before, I can't imagine we won't clock a 135kts+ at some point in the next few passes.

[mcallum177]

The water is starting to puddle up on this stream along Sabine Pass. Earlier today there were no puddles.

https://www.sabinepassportauthority.com/live-video-surveillance/

[wkwally]

Surge is already beginning to inundate Cameron, LA.

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KP1Ee4F7q-o

https://i.imgur.com/kEuus3Y.jpg

wonder if that camera will be under water when Laura makes landfall

[sikkar]

Can you add a comment in such posts for the noobs like me. Thanks.

I meant to, but guess I just got a bit carried away. Basically, Cat 5 winds are mixing down through the core very efficiently, and at this rate it may only be a matter of time until they reach the surface.

Those 140kts winds have come down in the last couple of hours and now are literally just above the surface. As I said before, I can't imagine we won't clock a 135kts+ at some point in the next few passes.

Thanks guys. God speed.

[supercane4867]

Fresh hot towers developing in the northern eyewall.

[rolldamntoad]

Does it have enough time to reach C5?

Absolutely, especially when we consider post-season storm evaluations. Will it get there in real time, hard to say. Those 150+ knot gusts aren't high off the water, so 140kt sustained at the surface could happen on the next pass through the NE quad and show up at 11pm. Might not, but there's still time the way it's bombing out.

One thing complicating a post mortem re-evaluation is that there doesn’t seem to be as many structures for them to use like there was for Michael (namely at Tyndall AFB where you know exactly how the buildings were built since it’s gov’t work). Holly Beach and that area does have homes and businesses but the sample size would be relatively low and there would be more unknown construction variables.

[GCANE]

The brunt of the eyewall is going to hit the shore dead on.

[shiny-pebble]

[toad strangler]

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1298770983940046849

[northjaxpro]

Surge is already beginning to inundate Cameron, LA.

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KP1Ee4F7q-o

https://i.imgur.com/kEuus3Y.jpg

wonder if that camera will be under water when Laura makes landfall

I would probably think it is a solid possibility it will be by that time.

[KWT]

N-S pass coming now for NOAA plane, next opportunity to find those category-5 winds in the northern eyewall.

[jaxfladude]

NHC now expects storm surge to penetrate 40 miles inland instead of 30 miles...

still catching up on backlog posts reading since I went to sleep early this am...that is sad and just unreal! Better not go even deeper inland...

Prayers!!!!!!!

[BRweather]

This is definitely going to be making landfall a little more to the east than expected.

[Hammy]

Surge is already beginning to inundate Cameron, LA.

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KP1Ee4F7q-o

https://i.imgur.com/kEuus3Y.jpg

wonder if that camera will be under water when Laura makes landfall

I would probably think it is a solid possibility it will be that that time.

Are they the same ones that had the Michael cam right in the eyewall?

[cfisher]

The shear seems to be having no impact and might even be providing fuel to the storm.

[jaxfladude]

Just seen that the State of Texas sent two C-130s to Port Arthur to help with evacuations.

Any latest updates on this and are they flying the them out as of now?
Prayers!!!

[ronjon]

Gonna be a long night for the home team. I can't even believe I'm seeing this and how close I am to such a monster. Never imagined such a strong and STILL intensifying hurricane in these parts. My heart breaks for those who are about to lose so much. Keep Louisiana and SE Texas in your thoughts and prayers tonight.

https://imgur.com/vxvgHY2

Yeah PTrackerLA... I know you're a long time poster here. Wishing you the best in Lafayette as I'm afraid even you well east will see some nasty weather with trees down and power lost. Keep posting your conditions as long as you can.

[Ken711]

This is definitely going to be making landfall a little more to the east than expected.

Could still be more wobbles in its track, hard to say yet.