ATL: LAURA - Models

[Highteeld]

[tolakram]

[La Sirena]

Slight shift East?

[sponger]

Why does the 12Z Euro run at 2:00??? Been on my mind for a few seasons thought I would find out the mystery.

[Highteeld]

Euro is taking Laura to cat 5 right at landfall

[Ken711]

https://i.imgur.com/qNYJsM7.png

You don't often see the Euro with a 930mb landfall.

[Highteeld]

This is going to cat 5.

[cp79]

Euro spinning something up in the Caribbean next week, too. Looks to be heading NW at 192 hrs.

[cp79]

This is going to cat 5.

I don’t know. The last few frames don’t look as impressive as this morning on the right side. Still got cat.4 all over it but to get cat 5 it needs to be completely perfect in every way, shape and form.

[Highteeld]

This is going to cat 5.

I don’t know. The last few frames don’t look as impressive as this morning on the right side. Still got cat.4 all over it but to get cat 5 it needs to be completely perfect in every way, shape and form.

I think it's filling back in

[cp79]

This is going to cat 5.

I don’t know. The last few frames don’t look as impressive as this morning on the right side. Still got cat.4 all over it but to get cat 5 it needs to be completely perfect in every way, shape and form.

I think it's filling back in

Yeah it is. Wow. What a monster.

[Kingarabian]

SHIPS and the statisticals dropped the ball on this one.

[Highteeld]

SHIPS and the statisticals dropped the ball on this one.

This is the worst I've seen SHIPS do in a while.

[galaxy401]

Yeah not a good run for SHIPs at all. Big props to the HWRF and even the Euro the last couple nights intensity wise.

[cycloneye]

Which models performed the best with Laura from when it was a Tropical Wave till the end?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Which model@s performed the best with Laura from when it was a Tropical Wave to the end?

I'd say the UKMET. Correctly developed Laura earlier than the GFS and Euro, also took it more south (was the first to show a track south of Cuba).

[jlauderdal]

Which models performed the best with Laura from when it was a Tropical Wave till the end?

Hwrf on intensity

[tolakram]

[sphelps8681]

Pretty much nothing here in Lumberton, Tx. No winds or rain right now and has been that way for the last couple of hours.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

https://i.imgur.com/LdMQ13l.png

https://i.imgur.com/1lO8dZS.png

Difficult to distinguish the color scheme here, but if that first blue one is the ECMWF, then wow... that's a horrendous job at 3-5 days for Intensity MAE.