ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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dantonlsu
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7321 Postby dantonlsu » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:06 am

Watching Brett Adair... Not as bad as Mexico Beach, but still crazy.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7322 Postby bob rulz » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:06 am

Are we sure that sign is still there? Hard to tell anything now.

Too bad this didn't make landfall during the day.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7323 Postby sbcc » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:06 am

Jeff Piotrowski a couple of minutes ago called for Lake Charles to take a direct hit by the eyewall.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7324 Postby PTPatrick » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:06 am

It remains to be seen but if it keeps this trajectory with the eastern eyewall just east of Calcasieu lake, the city of lake Charles May see slightly less than worst case surge. Something to watch. It will be bad no matter what...but a few feet could make a big difference in some areas.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7325 Postby HurricaneEdouard » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:07 am

Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.

That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7326 Postby Miamimeetro » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:07 am

can someone repost the cameron video link
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7327 Postby wx98 » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:07 am

sbcc wrote:Jeff Piotrowski a couple of minutes ago called for Lake Charles to take a direct hit by the eyewall.

Downtown is 20-25 miles from the northern eyewall now. Moving straight for them. If anything they get the NE/E side.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7328 Postby sbcc » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am

bob rulz wrote:Are we sure that sign is still there? Hard to tell anything now.

Too bad this didn't make landfall during the day.


I want to believe it's still there...
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7329 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7330 Postby HurryKane » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am

Miamimeetro wrote:can someone repost the cameron video link


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3bwtnmk1lA&feature=youtu.be
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7331 Postby Tyler Penland » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am

Calcasieu Pass now with a gust to 92kts. Sustained at 72kts.

Previous water level reading of 7.4ft may have been an error reading 6.36ft now. Barometer stuck at 981mb an hour ago unfortunately.
Last edited by Tyler Penland on Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7332 Postby sbcc » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am

Miamimeetro wrote:can someone repost the cameron video link


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3bwtnm ... e=youtu.be
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7333 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am

HurricaneEdouard wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.

That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.


Based on all data, my estimate is 135 kt. Not conclusive enough for an upgrade.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7334 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:09 am

Steve wrote:
sbcc wrote:
EnnisTx wrote:

It's on a pole with ratchet straps, not sure how high it is though.


Whatever the parish stuck that sign pole into is doing great, too. So far.


haha. That landfall has been intense. Wish there could be more light.

Cameron lost power early.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7335 Postby TallahasseeMan » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:09 am

HurricaneEdouard wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.

That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.

Better in the history books to be one of the stronger CAT-4’s to make landfall then to be one of the weakest/most borderline CAT-5’s imo.


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7336 Postby Miamimeetro » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:09 am

HurryKane wrote:
Miamimeetro wrote:can someone repost the cameron video link


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3bwtnmk1lA&feature=youtu.be


many thanks amigo
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ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7337 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:09 am

Conditions deteriorating in Lake Charles...
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7338 Postby EnnisTx » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:11 am

Texas Snowman wrote:Jeff Linder reporting 110 mph gust at Cameron weather station...



I'm fairly certain the sustained wind is higher than that right now.

https://youtu.be/w3bwtnmk1lA
Last edited by EnnisTx on Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7339 Postby dexterlabio » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:12 am

Whether a 140kt Cat5 or not is immaterial. IMO 130 to 135kt sounds about right but you just wouldn't tell the difference in terms of devastation between a 135kt or a 140kt hurricane.

Only sure thing is that there would be some historic damage along the way.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7340 Postby Fancy1001 » Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:12 am

TallahasseeMan wrote:
HurricaneEdouard wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.

That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.

Better in the history books to be one of the stronger CAT-4’s to make landfall then to be one of the weakest/most borderline CAT-5’s imo.


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No it's not, that's worse.
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