Possible development off SE coast (Is Invest 90L)

[Extratropical94]

New lemon

A low pressure area is expected to form off of the southeastern
coast of the United States early next week. Additional subsequent
development is possible as the system moves east-northeastward
across the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[CyclonicFury]

Feels like Kyle all over again.

[Emmett_Brown]

The blob of storms currently in the NE GOM might be the spark that sets this off. GFS shows the vorticity from the GOM moving NE and starting to close off E of the Carolinas, headed into the Atlantic.

[mlfreeman]

Is this somehow connected to remnants of Laura?

[aspen]

Most of the globals have been showing this since yesterday. Maybe it could be a stronger version of Kyle if it develops, since SSTs are a lot warmer and it could form further south.

[Extratropical94]

Is this somehow connected to remnants of Laura?

No, the remnants of Laura have merged with the cold front of the low over Lake Ontario.
This system will develop from the vorticity currently over the GOM

[CrazyC83]

This seems to have the most model support of the systems demarcated. This would be Nana and not Laura it sounds like.

[AnnularCane]

I think I'm having Fay-related deja vu.

[OuterBanker]

Harmless out to sea. Adding to the name list. Breaking another record. Since cruise ships are no longer sailing it won't matter to anyone.

[Ryxn]

I think I'm having Fay-related deja vu.

Fay-ja vu actually

[WeatherEmperor]

Development chances up to 50% now


An area of low pressure is expected to form off of the southeastern coast of the United States in a day or two. Subsequent development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week while the system moves northeastward or east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast of the U.S. and then away from land. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


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[galaxy401]

The 48 hour chances jumped from 0% to 40%. That's quite the leap.

[storm4u]

Now up to 70 percent

[plasticup]

Harmless out to sea. Adding to the name list. Breaking another record. Since cruise ships are no longer sailing it won't matter to anyone.

Hello from Bermuda.

[Extratropical94]

An area of low pressure is expected to form off the southeastern
coast of the United States in a day or two. Subsequent development
of this system is possible, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the middle of the week while the system moves northeastward
or east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast
of the U.S. and then away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

[Extratropical94]

Recon scheduled for tomorrow

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (OFF SE US COAST)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
A. 31/1900Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 31/1645Z
D. 32.0N 76.0W
E. 31/1730Z TO 31/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[CrazyC83]

Surprised this isn't 90L yet given the probabilities. That's likely inevitable soon.

[us89]

It's another name race...assuming this ultimately gets named, will it beat 99L to Nana? Earlier this morning I would have said yes, but that one seems to be getting its act together relatively quickly.

[cycloneye]

Invest 90L is up.