Tropical Wave in NW Caribbean

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ClarCari
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#81 Postby ClarCari » Mon Sep 07, 2020 7:05 pm

This wave was just taken off yesterday and only the past few hours gotten into a bit better shape, so the NHC is gonna wait maybe another day or so for it to get more organized before giving it another chance...

!BEWARE THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN!
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tiger_deF
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#82 Postby tiger_deF » Mon Sep 07, 2020 7:30 pm

If this pans out as well as 94L there is a slight ossibility we could have 4 storms at once.
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#83 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 07, 2020 7:38 pm

ClarCari wrote:This wave was just taken off yesterday and only the past few hours gotten into a bit better shape, so the NHC is gonna wait maybe another day or so for it to get more organized before giving it another chance...

!BEWARE THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN!


Plus on top of what you stated, some of the warmest ssts right now are in the NW Caribbean. So yes, no doubt, any vort down there has plemty of potential to really get cranked.
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#84 Postby Nimbus » Mon Sep 07, 2020 8:01 pm

The convection is likely being enhanced by the shear from the defeated upper level low.
See if this area bursts again tomorrow on its own which would signify a stronger surface low.
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#85 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 07, 2020 8:51 pm

Shear just absolutely just died.. nicely divergent flow for convection to continue.

only a little mid level winds. about 10 kts left.

plenty of moisture.. really nothing holding it back anymore.

Image
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Jr0d
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#86 Postby Jr0d » Tue Sep 08, 2020 7:41 am

....and poof it's gone!

There is a weak broad area of low pressure over South Florida that may be part of the wave axis.
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#87 Postby Frank P » Tue Sep 08, 2020 8:57 am

I’ve watched this little system the past week or so and at one time it had a decent circulation, after quite the blowup yesterday afternoon, it’s hard to find this morning. Be that as it may, I did notice another weak circulation that’s just north of the Yucatán Straits in the southern most GOM.. both systems are circled in red in the sat view below..

https://imgur.com/a/lR0O7jq
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Re: Tropical Wave In the Western Caribbean

#88 Postby Frank P » Wed Sep 09, 2020 8:40 am

And the cute little system is somewhat back again this morning... ha
Shear looks much less than yesterday

https://imgur.com/a/GrvdmT7
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