2020 WPAC Season

[mrbagyo]

[euro6208]

Looks like the models are showing a slow September as disturbances struggle to organize.

[euro6208]

For a few days now CFS shows very low pressures across the basin starting in October. Even lower than August/September.

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1301241020349325315



 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1301241487963889664

[euro6208]

Busan would be the 3rd largest city in the U.S. Yes we all know most major networks are based in the U.S thus the HYPING but common why ignore?

It's been going on for decades.

[Florida1118]

Busan would be the 3rd largest city in the U.S. Yes we all know most major networks are based in the U.S thus the HYPING but common why ignore?

It's been going on for decades.

Do you just repeat whining about the same topics until someone finally engages? Between this and the “lack of recon” bit you do, you’ve certainly beaten a dead horse a thousand times over.

[Hayabusa]

I have to say, the Euro wins this one showing Haishen in the long range, and if we rely on the Euro based on its Haishen success on future forecast, it looks like it's going to be quiet for a little while probably at least 5 days to a week with high confidence.

[euro6208]

12Z




18Z

[euro6208]

EURO also has a few disturbances rolling through.

[NotoSans]

Another significant change on JMA products
 https://twitter.com/homosapieninhk/status/1302868621782183941

[mrbagyo]

Typhoon Maysak and Haishen left a pretty noticeable cold wake.

[euro6208]

GFS drops the Philippine Sea system while EURO puts more weight on the dateline systems in about a week.

GFS has some development in 2 weeks time in the P.I sea.

[doomhaMwx]

 https://twitter.com/ptccfeed/status/1303309538871787520

[euro6208]

Next 5 names on the list...

Noul
Dolphin
Kujira
Chan-hom
Linfa

[euro6208]

2020 tally:

11 TS (15.2)
6 TY (9.0)
4 Major (4.1)

ACE 67.1 (147.0)

I'd say this season is doing darn good despite a lurking nina.

ACE wise, it needs a lot of catching up to do.

Going by WPAC standard, it is extremely slow and out of the norm.

The only system that didn't make landfall was TS 06W last month.

South Korea with a record breaking number of typhoons and pressure records.

Plenty of potential in the last 3 months of the year.

I hate to think what will happen in 2021. (A well known hurricane chaser has already set his return.)

[Florida1118]

2020 tally:

11 TS (15.2)
6 TY (9.0)
4 Major (4.1)

ACE 67.1 (147.0)

I'd say this season is doing darn good despite a lurking nina.

ACE wise, it needs a lot of catching up to do.

Going by WPAC standard, it is extremely slow and out of the norm.

The only system that didn't make landfall was TS 06W last month.

South Korea with a record breaking number of typhoons and pressure records.

Plenty of potential in the last 3 months of the year.

I hate to think what will happen in 2021. (A well known hurricane chaser has already set his return.)

Yeah, sure seems like you'd hate it alright

I'd hate to think what would happen next year.

I hate to say it but maybe we need a break this year? That brings anxiety to what 2021 might deliver. WPAC never lets down.

Maybe this year the residents can take a break? 2021 looks to be another powerful year.

I hate to think about next year. Rebuilding mode.

Since recon stopped in 1987, i hate to think what this list would look like right now if recon never ended.

I'd hate to think what would happen if the shear was low or non existant...

I'd hate to think what hell will be unleash.

I'd hate to think what the WPAC will be in a couple of months with a possible nino on the horizon.

Very impressive signal. Good thing its only February. Hate to see that later this year.

[doomhaMwx]

Some Euro ens members picking up a new storm near the Marianas by mid next week. Looks interesting.

[euro6208]

Whether or not these disturbances develop is scary. A sign the WPAC may soon reawaken.

EURO with a couple defined vorticity and GFS has a parade.

[Hayabusa]

Euro ensemble getting active

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1302989026547376128