shiny-pebble wrote:This might not be the proper thread, but does the HWRF really blow everything up into a major? I feel like a lot of us only look at it when it blows thing up. How many storms this season did it over do??
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The HWRF seems to struggle with storms like 95L that don't even have a closed LLC. However, it correctly saw Hanna's rapid intensification into a high-end Category 1, Nana's deepening to a Cat 1 before landfall, and most significantly was consistent for days that Laura would become a powerful hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Additionally, it saw all this while the global models, such as the GFS and ECMWF, showed nothing more than a weak tropical storm at most. It's not something that should be dismissed, especially as the theme this season has been storms explosively deepening right before landfall.