Texas Fall 2020

[Brent]

Wonder if we'll get any rain from future Sally or more likely the other circle that probably wont form

[Cpv17]

Y'all need to learn to share. The cold front never made it to my location. It stalled just to my west. Meanwhile, it looks like my area may be getting some rain soon. We definitely need it. I had less than 1 inch in August.

I’ve only had .70” here in Wharton over the past 6 weeks.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Y'all need to learn to share. The cold front never made it to my location. It stalled just to my west. Meanwhile, it looks like my area may be getting some rain soon. We definitely need it. I had less than 1 inch in August.

I’ve only had .70” here in Wharton over the past 6 weeks.

Thats shocking. Ive had like 5 events with more than .7".

[Cpv17]

Y'all need to learn to share. The cold front never made it to my location. It stalled just to my west. Meanwhile, it looks like my area may be getting some rain soon. We definitely need it. I had less than 1 inch in August.

I’ve only had .70” here in Wharton over the past 6 weeks.

Thats shocking. Ive had like 5 events with more than .7".

Yep. Donut hole over here apparently. I have a coworker who lives in Needville and he’s gotten even less than me during that timespan.

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/JesseWFAA/status/1304798969390919680



Did anyone notice the smoke from the California wildfires drifting over the Texas Panhandle? It’s clearly visible on GOES visible imagery.

On that note:

 https://twitter.com/CinTyLee1/status/1304981793699921921




Remarkably:

 https://twitter.com/NWSElPaso/status/1304923379154124800




A wider illustration:

 https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1304934949720649728

[gpsnowman]

Enjoying the dryer air this afternoon. A nice breeze in the shade anyway. Rain is key and we have had enough to prevent drought conditions so my dream is to eliminate all humidity from the face of the earth. Well, let us concentrate on DFW. Kind of a stagnant, almost boring outlook extending into late September. Normal temps with a touch of moist air for many days although no heat waves predicted. No cold fronts either. Humidity please die. As I get older,, humidity bothers me more year after year.

[Brent]

Gonna have to watch 90L that's for sure looks like there's gonna be a lot of slow motion only a lot further west than Sally

And I don't trust the Gulf after watching Laura and Sally

[captainbarbossa19]

Gonna have to watch 90L that's for sure looks like there's gonna be a lot of slow motion only a lot further west than Sally

And I don't trust the Gulf after watching Laura and Sally

I hope it doesn't become strong, but it sure would be nice to get some rain! Normally September is one of the wettest months for my area, but I still have had less than 1.5 inches. August featured less than an inch so it's quite dry now. This is the driest it's been here since before Harvey.

[Cpv17]

Wow at the 18z GFS. Happy hour GFS I tell ya what.

[Brent]

not really convinced of much as far as impacts on the Texas coast yet.. but there are some absolutely crazy tracks showing up...

[Brent]

12z GFS... the entire coast gets a hurricane

Also Wilfred is out by Africa and Alpha just got named near Portugal so this will be Beta

[Cpv17]

12z GFS... the entire coast gets a hurricane

Also Wilfred is out by Africa and Alpha just got named near Portugal so this will be Beta

Yeah but it only gives me 2” and I’m less than an hour away from the coast. Sharp cutoff.

[Cpv17]

Huge rainmaker for Texas on the 12z Euro.

[Brent]

12z GFS... the entire coast gets a hurricane

Also Wilfred is out by Africa and Alpha just got named near Portugal so this will be Beta

Yeah but it only gives me 2” and I’m less than an hour away from the coast. Sharp cutoff.

I guess we'll see looking at satellite it looks to have a huge envelope right now and even up here I've noticed we have rain chances now albeit small when yesterday it was straight sunny all week

[bubba hotep]

Beta is going to drive a bunch of moisture into East and North Texas. We could see some decent rainfall totals well away from landfall in kind of a PRE setup.

[Cpv17]

A tropical storm sitting in top of me for 3 days and I’m only forecasted to get 5”? I mean I’d love to get 5” but how in the world would I not get more than that? Not saying I want more cuz I don’t. 5” would be perfect but I think totals would be way higher.

[Brent]

Beta is going to drive a bunch of moisture into East and North Texas. We could see some decent rainfall totals well away from landfall in kind of a PRE setup.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020091906/gfs_midRH_watl_11.png

Quite a few of the EPS members even get up into the area now big shift inland today

[bubba hotep]

Beta is going to drive a bunch of moisture into East and North Texas. We could see some decent rainfall totals well away from landfall in kind of a PRE setup.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020091906/gfs_midRH_watl_11.png

Quite a few of the EPS members even get up into the area now big shift inland today
https://i.ibb.co/CwvYBGW/AL22-2020091912-ECENS.png

HWRF tracks it right over DFW

[Portastorm]

Be careful trusting those EPS members over the NHC forecast. Many of us got burned when the EPS members/ensemble mean screamed a further westward track for Laura as compared to NHC's forecast. I wouldn't mind a few inches of rain but I'm not buying what King Euro is selling just yet.

[Brent]

:uarrow:

Be careful trusting those EPS members over the NHC forecast. Many of us got burned when the EPS members/ensemble mean screamed a further westward track for Laura as compared to NHC's forecast. I wouldn't mind a few inches of rain but I'm not buying what King Euro is selling just yet.

True but there's definitely been more of a shift inland today even if it doesn't get all the way up here

I mean as it stood we were already getting an inch or two last night with it tracking along the coast from a big area of rain on Monday into Tuesday